Reversal of net migration between Mexico and the U.S.
Pew Research Center statistics found approximately equal amounts of migration in both direction for the period 2005–2010, with net migration toward Mexico of about 130,000 people from 2009 to 2014. Pew found this trend reversed again for the period 2013–2018, with net migration of about 160,000 people toward the United States.
Reasons for trend reversal Several major factors contribute to a general sense among Mexican migrants and potential migrants that there is less profit and more danger to migrate to the U.S., leading many of them to decide that it is better to leave the U.S. or to stay in Mexico: • The decline of fertility in Mexico has resulted in proportionally fewer young people, and thus lower migration to the U.S. • The
Great Recession led to a decline of work opportunities in the U.S., meaning that many migrants who moved to the U.S. for work couldn't find any. Access to social security, healthcare and education in the U.S. has also become more difficult. • The economic situation in Mexico has become better, ensuring better access to healthcare, education, and jobs. This reduces the incentive for Mexicans to leave the country. • Since 2010, U.S. legislation has placed stricter controls on illegal immigration: several American states have criminalized illegal immigration. Deportations under the Obama administration (2009-2017) reached record numbers. • During the last few years, violence associated with drug cartels and organized crime has been on the rise in Northern Mexico, making the routes for passing the border more dangerous. Mexicans and Americans Thinking Together (MATT) conducted 600 in-depth, in-person interviews of migrants who returned to the Mexican state of Jalisco, and found that family reasons and nostalgia are the primary cited reasons for return migration to Mexico. The research also found that of the interviewed migrants who moved back to Mexico, only about 11% were forced to leave the United States due to being deported. 75% of the respondents cited that their reasons for return migration were self-motivated.
Developments in Mexico Mexican source communities, mostly indigenous villages, are most often poor. To survive economically, such areas rely heavily on the emigration of some of their members and on the remittances they send back. Furthermore, research suggests that Mexican households are equal in authority and control over resources, which predicts the emigration of their male partners to the U.S. Emigration can function as an escape valve to alleviate economic pressures, as it provides a source of income and opens up work opportunities in villages of origin. Urban violence and crime, stunted growth, malnutrition, poor elementary education, poor hygiene and inadequate sanitation are just some of the implications of life in urban slums. According to
UNICEF, urban migration has badly worsened the reach of social schemes of health and nutrition. Among communities of origin, there is a widespread ambivalence towards migrants, as the money they send back is welcome, but there is resentment against the cultural changes that they bring with them when they come back. Returning migrants are blamed for bringing with them drug use, sexually transmitted diseases, and antisocial behavior. They are held responsible for the abandonment of the traditional indigenous way of life as they bring back western cultural habits and material culture. The return of migrants to Mexico thus has important cultural repercussions and changes the face of their home communities forever.
Developments in the U.S. In 2016, Hispanics were estimated to account for nearly 20% of the US labor force by 2024. Furthermore, nearly 60% of Hispanic Americans are of Mexican origin. This sector constitutes a non-negligible part of the U.S. economy. With the current migration trends, within a few years, Mexico will not be able to cover current demand for Mexican labor of its neighbor anymore. Migration from Venezuela, Guatemala, and the Dominican Republic to the U.S. is rising, as their migrants begin to replace Mexican workers. It is however unclear whether other
Hispanic American countries follow these trends, and it is unsure whether the gap left by returning Mexicans will be filled by such migrants. Jeffrey Passel, chief demographer of the Pew Center, says the consequences for the U.S. economy may be important. Proposed acts that offer easier paths to U.S. citizenship for immigrants, such as the
DREAM Act, have been rejected. Continuing on over into 2015, during President Donald Trump's presidency, he reinforced harshly on enforcing immigration laws nationwide and specifically at the Southern border. One of the many actions he done to make sure these immigration restrictions were enforced is he ended the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program ==See also==