Set in Heinlein's
Future History, the story is self-contained and describes the end of a theocratic government that had been established in 2012. This government had been democratically elected but was quickly subverted by the elected president (and the first of the Prophets) Nehemiah Scudder. The context of this election was the societal disruptions brought about by the establishment of the "new imperialism", described in
The Man Who Sold the Moon, this imperialism being brought about by the development of practical interplanetary travel. This leads to, as described in
Logic of Empire, subsistence level wages at home and slavery in the colonies (the subject of
Logic of Empire, where "colonists" on Venus are for all intents and purposes slaves). Because of the economic dislocations brought about by this imperialism, revolutions occurred in and around 2012, in the United States, Venus and Little America and brought the end to interplanetary travel (the Interregnum). Incidentally, interplanetary travel was implicitly assumed by Heinlein to be a solely American provenance (note Heinlein assumes that Europe is destroyed in the future, first by "the final blackout" and then (in ""
Time Enough For Love"" by Great China). Heinlein is writing a "future history", and
If This Goes On-- is towards the end of this history, the finale being the novellas ''
Methuselah's Children (published in two parts). Methuselah's Children'' describes a time approximately fifty years after the overthrow of the theocratic government and depicts a society founded on the principles of "semantics" (Heinlein states in various places that the Prophets would never have taken power if a science of such has been established before 2012).
If This Goes On-- also describes briefly what the future government of the United States would look like (the Covenant, a somewhat-idealized basis for government depicted in "
Coventry", "
Misfit", and ''
Methuselah's Children''). Note, of course, in ''
Methuselah's Children'', the principles of this Utopian government are quickly cast aside and the torture methods used by the Prophets are authorized against a sub-group of long-lived humans (the Howards, eponymously named after the foundation which funded selective breeding for longevity in humans). Scudder was previously mentioned in passing in the short story "
Logic of Empire" and would be again later on in Heinlein's final novel,
To Sail Beyond the Sunset. A story about the rise of Scudder, "The Sound of His Wings", is contained in the
Future History timeline but was never written by Heinlein, who stated in the afterword to
Revolt in 2100: "I will probably never write the story of Nehemiah Scudder, I dislike him too much." Also, a story called "The Stone Pillow", which would have depicted the earlier foredoomed opposition to the Theocracy, never got written; Heinlein noted that there was "too much tragedy in real life". The 1940 version of
"If This Goes On—" was believed to be Heinlein's first novel until the unpublished work
For Us, the Living: A Comedy of Customs was discovered in 2003. The earlier unpublished novel also features a Nehemiah Scudder who comes very close to gaining power but is stopped at the last moment by the mobilization of Libertarians. Ward Carson wrote: "In
For Us, the Living,
space colonization waits until the end of the twenty-first century and Scudder is defeated; in the
Future History it happens a century earlier and Scudder takes over the US. Heinlein made no explicit remark on this, but a causal connection could be made: in the Future History the bold individualistic Americans emigrated into space in the end of the twentieth century, and were not present in America to stop it from falling into the fanatic's hands." == References ==