Ancient philosophy For a move from particular to universal,
Aristotle in the 300s BCE used the Greek word
epagogé, which
Cicero translated into the Latin word
inductio.
Aristotle and the Peripatetic School Aristotle's
Posterior Analytics covers the methods of inductive proof in natural philosophy and in the social sciences. The first book of
Posterior Analytics describes the nature and science of demonstration and its elements: including definition, division, intuitive reason of first principles, particular and universal demonstration, affirmative and negative demonstration, the difference between science and opinion, etc.
Pyrrhonism The ancient
Pyrrhonists were the first Western philosophers to point out the
Problem of induction: that induction cannot, according to them, justify the acceptance of universal statements as true. Epilogism is an inference which moves entirely within the domain of visible and evident things, it tries not to invoke
unobservables. The
Dogmatic school of ancient Greek medicine employed
analogismos as a method of inference. This method used analogy to reason from what was observed to unobservable forces.
Early modern philosophy In 1620,
early modern philosopher Francis Bacon repudiated the value of mere experience and enumerative induction alone.
His method of
inductivism required that minute and many-varied observations that uncovered the natural world's structure and causal relations needed to be coupled with enumerative induction in order to have knowledge beyond the present scope of experience. Inductivism therefore required enumerative induction as a component.
David Hume The empiricist
David Hume's 1740 stance found enumerative induction to have no rational, let alone logical, basis; instead, induction was the product of instinct rather than reason, a custom of the mind and an everyday requirement to live. While observations, such as the motion of the sun, could be coupled with the principle of the
uniformity of nature to produce conclusions that seemed to be certain, the
problem of induction arose from the fact that the uniformity of nature was not a logically valid principle, therefore it could not be defended as deductively rational, but also could not be defended as inductively rational by appealing to the fact that the uniformity of nature has accurately described the past and therefore, will likely accurately describe the future because that is an inductive argument and therefore circular since induction is what needs to be justified. Since Hume first wrote about the dilemma between the invalidity of deductive arguments and the circularity of inductive arguments in support of the uniformity of nature, this supposed dichotomy between merely two modes of inference, deduction and induction, has been contested with the discovery of a third mode of inference known as abduction, or
abductive reasoning, which was first formulated and advanced by
Charles Sanders Peirce, in 1886, where he referred to it as "reasoning by hypothesis." Inference to the best explanation is often, yet arguably, treated as synonymous to abduction as it was first identified by Gilbert Harman in 1965 where he referred to it as "abductive reasoning," yet his definition of abduction slightly differs from Pierce's definition. Regardless, if abduction is in fact a third mode of inference rationally independent from the other two, then either the uniformity of nature can be rationally justified through abduction, or Hume's dilemma is more of a trilemma. Hume was also skeptical of the application of enumerative induction and reason to reach certainty about unobservables and especially the inference of causality from the fact that modifying an aspect of a relationship prevents or produces a particular outcome.
Immanuel Kant Awakened from "dogmatic slumber" by a German translation of Hume's work,
Kant sought to explain the possibility of
metaphysics. In 1781, Kant's
Critique of Pure Reason introduced
rationalism as a path toward knowledge distinct from
empiricism. Kant sorted statements into two types.
Analytic statements are true by virtue of the
arrangement of their terms and
meanings, thus analytic statements are
tautologies, merely logical truths, true by
necessity. Whereas
synthetic statements hold meanings to refer to states of facts,
contingencies. Against both rationalist philosophers like
Descartes and
Leibniz as well as against empiricist philosophers like
Locke and
Hume, Kant's
Critique of Pure Reason is a sustained argument that in order to have knowledge we need both a contribution of our mind (concepts) as well as a contribution of our senses (intuitions). Knowledge proper is for Kant thus restricted to what we can possibly perceive (
phenomena), whereas objects of mere thought ("
things in themselves") are in principle unknowable due to the impossibility of ever perceiving them. Reasoning that the mind must contain its own categories for organizing
sense data, making experience of objects in
space and
time (phenomena) possible, Kant concluded that the
uniformity of nature was an
a priori truth. he discarded
scientific realism. Kant's position that knowledge comes about by a cooperation of perception and our capacity to think (
transcendental idealism) gave birth to the movement of
German idealism.
Hegel's
absolute idealism subsequently flourished across continental Europe and England.
Late modern philosophy Positivism, developed by
Henri de Saint-Simon and promulgated in the 1830s by his former student
Auguste Comte, was the first
late modern philosophy of science. In the aftermath of the
French Revolution, fearing society's ruin, Comte opposed
metaphysics. Human knowledge had evolved from religion to metaphysics to science, said Comte, which had flowed from
mathematics to
astronomy to
physics to
chemistry to
biology to
sociology—in that order—describing increasingly intricate domains. All of society's knowledge had become scientific, with questions of
theology and of
metaphysics being unanswerable. Comte found enumerative induction reliable as a consequence of its grounding in available experience. He asserted the use of science, rather than metaphysical truth, as the correct method for the improvement of human society. According to Comte,
scientific method frames predictions, confirms them, and states laws—positive statements—irrefutable by
theology or by
metaphysics. Regarding experience as justifying enumerative induction by demonstrating the
uniformity of nature, the British philosopher
John Stuart Mill welcomed Comte's positivism, but thought
scientific laws susceptible to recall or revision and Mill also withheld from Comte's
Religion of Humanity. Comte was confident in treating
scientific law as an
irrefutable foundation for all knowledge, and believed that churches, honouring eminent scientists, ought to focus public mindset on
altruism—a term Comte coined—to apply science for humankind's social welfare via
sociology, Comte's leading science. During the 1830s and 1840s, while Comte and Mill were the leading philosophers of science,
William Whewell found enumerative induction not nearly as convincing, and, despite the dominance of inductivism, formulated "superinduction". Whewell argued that "the peculiar import of the term
Induction" should be recognised: "there is some Conception
superinduced upon the facts", that is, "the Invention of a new Conception in every inductive inference". The creation of Conceptions is easily overlooked and prior to Whewell was rarely recognised. Later philosophers termed Peirce's abduction, etc.,
Inference to the Best Explanation (IBE).
Bertrand Russell found Keynes's
Treatise on Probability the best examination of induction, and believed that if read with
Jean Nicod's ''Le Probleme logique de l'induction'' as well as
R B Braithwaite's review of Keynes's work in the October 1925 issue of
Mind, that would cover "most of what is known about induction", although the "subject is technical and difficult, involving a good deal of mathematics". Two decades later,
Russell followed Keynes in regarding enumerative induction as an "independent logical principle". IBE is otherwise synonymous with
C S Peirce's
abduction. == Comparison with deductive reasoning ==