Evolution and history The predominant natural reservoir of influenza viruses is thought to be wild waterfowl. A 2023 study involving total RNA sequencing and transcriptome mining found that Influenzaviruses and the broader
Articulavirales order likely had an aquatic origin, with fish being some of the earliest hosts, and the earliest viruses in the order evolving from
Crustaceans over 600 million years ago. The subtypes of influenza A virus are estimated to have diverged 2,000 years ago. Influenza viruses A and B are estimated to have diverged from a single ancestor around 4,000 years ago, while the ancestor of influenza viruses A and B and the ancestor of influenza virus C are estimated to have diverged from a common ancestor around 8,000 years ago. Outbreaks of influenza-like disease can be found throughout recorded history. The first probable record is by
Hippocrates in 412 BCE. The historian Fujikawa listed 46 epidemics of flu-like illness in Japan between 862 and 1868. In Europe and the Americas, a number of epidemics were recorded through the
Middle Ages and up to the end of the 19th century. The next pandemic took place in 1957, the "
Asian flu", which was caused by a H2N2 subtype of the virus in which the genome segments coding for HA and NA appeared to have derived from avian influenza strains by reassortment, while the remainder of the genome was descended from the 1918 virus. The 1968 pandemic ("
Hong Kong flu") was caused by a H3N2 subtype in which the NA segment was derived from the 1957 virus, while the HA segment had been reassorted from an avian strain of influenza. Influenza A virus continues to circulate and evolve in birds and pigs. Almost all possible combinations of H (1 through 16) and N (1 through 11) have been isolated from wild birds.
Pandemic potential Influenza viruses have a relatively high mutation rate that is characteristic of
RNA viruses. The segmentation of the influenza A virus
genome facilitates
genetic recombination by segment
reassortment in hosts who become infected with two different strains of influenza viruses at the same time. With reassortment between strains, an avian strain which does not affect humans may acquire characteristics from a different strain which enable it to infect and pass between humans – a
zoonotic event. It is thought that all influenza A viruses causing outbreaks or
pandemics among humans since the 1900s originated from strains circulating in wild aquatic birds through reassortment with other influenza strains. It is possible (though not certain) that pigs may act as an intermediate host for reassortment.
Surveillance The
Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System (GISRS) is a global network of laboratories that monitor the spread of
influenza with the aim to provide the
World Health Organization with influenza control information and to inform vaccine development. Flu season is an annually recurring time period characterized by the prevalence of an outbreak of
influenza, caused either by Influenza A or by
Influenza B. The season occurs during the cold half of the year in temperate regions; November through February in the northern hemisphere and May to October in the southern hemisphere. Flu seasons also exist in the
tropics and
subtropics, with variability from region to region. Annually, about 3 to 5 million cases of severe illness and 290,000 to 650,000 deaths from seasonal flu occur worldwide. • Days are shorter during the winter, and lack of sunlight leads to low levels of vitamin D and melatonin, both of which require sunlight for their generation. This compromises our immune systems, which in turn decreases ability to fight the virus. • The influenza virus may survive better in colder, drier climates, and therefore be able to infect more people.
Zoonotic infections A
zoonosis is a disease in a human caused by a
pathogen (such as a
bacterium, or
virus) that has jumped from a non-human to a
human. Avian and pig influenza viruses can, on rare occasions, transmit to humans and cause zoonotic influenza virus infections; these infections are usually confined to people who have been in close contact with infected animals or material such as infected feces and meat, they do not spread to other humans. Symptoms of these infections in humans vary greatly; some are in asymptomatic or mild while others can cause severe disease, leading to severe pneumonia and death. A wide range of Influenza A virus subtypes have been found to cause zoonotic disease. Zoonotic infections can be prevented by good hygiene, by preventing farmed animals from coming into contact with wild animals, and by using appropriate
personal protective equipment. == Prevention and treatment ==