Market2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas
Company Profile

2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas

The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the thirty-eight U.S. representatives from the State of Texas, one from each of the state's thirty-eight congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on March 3, 2026, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% in a primary, runoff elections will take place on May 26, 2026.

Redistricting
On July 9, 2025, the Texas state government announced that during a planned special session on July 21 of this year, it would tackle mid-decade redistricting. This had been pushed privately by the White House to help Republicans keep control of the House in 2026, and critics have labeled it a gerrymander. On August 20, 2025, the Texas House passed congressional maps that would target five Democratic-held seats. The vote was 88–52, a party-line vote. The new map changes the territory of Democratic representatives Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, Lloyd Doggett, Julie Johnson, and Al Green. On August 23, 2025, the Texas Senate passed the map with a vote 18–8. Governor Greg Abbott has signed the map into law, and therefore will be the active map used in the 2026 House elections in Texas. On November 18, 2025, a federal court blocked Texas from using its newly drawn congressional map in next year's midterms, ruling that the map is likely an unconstitutional "racial gerrymander". Three days later on November 21, Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito granted the request by the state to pause the court's ruling that reverts the election back to using the maps drawn in 2021 until the full Supreme Court of the United States could make a decision. On December 4, the Supreme Court ruled that Texas can use the new map in the 2026 midterm elections, striking down the lower court's ruling. on August 29, 2025 ==Retirements==
Retirements
Summary As of February 2026, 9 representatives (3 Democrats and 6 Republicans) have announced their retirement, 3 of whom (1 Democrat and 2 Republicans) are retiring to run for other offices. Democratic • : Jasmine Crockett is retiring to run for the U.S. Senate. • : Marc Veasey is retiring. Republican • : Morgan Luttrell is retiring. • : Michael McCaul is retiring. • : Chip Roy is retiring to run for attorney general of Texas. • : Wesley Hunt is retiring to run for the U.S. Senate. == Statewide polling ==
District 1
The new 1st district encompasses much of East Texas, including Tyler, Longview, Nacogdoches and Texarkana. The incumbent is Republican Nathaniel Moran, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024. Donald Trump and Ted Cruz won the district in 2024 with 74.3% and 72.5% of the vote, respectively, in 2024. Republican primary NomineeNathaniel Moran, incumbent U.S. representative Withdrawn • Ryan Nichols, participant in the January 6 Capitol attack Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary Advanced to runoff • Dax Alexander, software developer • Yolanda Prince, project manager and candidate for Texas's 6th House of Representatives district in 2018 • Masika Ray, realtor Endorsements Fundraising Results Results Independent and third party candidates Filed paperwork • Sonia Canchola (Independent) • Michael Morton (Independence Party) General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 2==
District 2
The new 2nd district encompasses most of the northern and northeastern suburbs of Houston, including The Woodlands, Spring, Kingwood, New Caney, Humble, and Atascocita, as well as the Willowbrook area of Houston itself. The incumbent is Republican Dan Crenshaw, who was re-elected with 65.7% of the vote in 2024, will not be on the general election ballot since he was defeated in the primary by State Representative Steve Toth. Eliminated in primaryDan Crenshaw, incumbent U.S. representative • Nicholas Lee Plumb, retail manager • Nick Tran, businessman (running in the 8th district) Endorsements Fundraising Results General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 3==
District 3
The new 3rd district encompasses much of Collin County and Hunt County in the Dallas–Fort Worth Metroplex, including eastern Plano, McKinney, Allen, Wylie and Greenville, as well as much of the I-30 corridor to the east including Sulphur Springs and Mount Pleasant. The incumbent is Republican Keith Self, who was re-elected with 62.5% of the vote in 2024. Eliminated in primary • Mark Newgent, U.S. Army veteran Withdrawn • Jordan Wheatley, behavior health technician Fundraising Results General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 4==
District 4
The new 4th district encompasses most of the counties in the eastern part of the Texoma region along the Red River, including the communities of Sherman and Paris, as well as some sections of the suburban and exurban DFW Metroplex including Frisco, most of Plano and the Collin County portion of Dallas. The incumbent is Republican Pat Fallon, who was re-elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2024. Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each respectively won 61.2% and 59.0% of the vote here in 2024. Republican primary NomineePat Fallon, incumbent U.S. representative Eliminated in primary • Don Horn, farmer and candidate for this seat in 2024 Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary Nominee • Jason Pearce, construction project manager Eliminated in primary • Andrew Rubell, teacher Fundraising Results General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 5==
District 5
The new 5th district encompasses the southeastern parts of the Dallas–Fort Worth Metroplex, including Mesquite, Terrell, Palestine, Athens, Canton, Kaufman, the southern halves of Garland and Rowlett, and the Lakewood and Lake Highlands portions of Dallas. The incumbent is Republican Lance Gooden, who was re-elected with 64.1% of the vote in 2024. Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary Advanced to runoff • Chelsey Hockett, stay-at-home mom General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 6==
District 6
The new 6th district encompasses most of the southern parts of the Dallas–Fort Worth Metroplex, including most or all of the suburbs of Midlothian, Mansfield, Burleson, Waxahachie and Corsicana, as well as most of the west side of Arlington and south and central Irving. The incumbent is Republican Jake Ellzey, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2024. Donald Trump and Ted Cruz won 60.4% and 57.4%, respectively, in this district in 2024. Republican primary NomineeJake Ellzey, incumbent U.S. representative Eliminated in primary • James Buford, pastor and candidate for this district in 2022 and 2024 • Brian Stahl, Covington city councilman Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary Nominee • Danny Minton, sales representative Fundraising Results General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 7==
District 7
The new 7th district encompasses a diverse southwestern stretch of the Greater Houston area across Harris and Fort Bend counties, including the Galleria area of Houston and the inner West Loop neighborhoods of Montrose, Meyerland, Rice Military, the Heights and Greenway Plaza, along with such diverse southwest Houston neighborhoods as Westchase, Sharpstown, Gulfton and Alief, and largely Asian and Hispanic portions of western Sugar Land and Mission Bend in Fort Bend County. The incumbent is Democrat Lizzie Fletcher, who was re-elected with 61.2% of the vote in 2024. General election Post-primary endorsements Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 8==
District 8
The 8th district includes most of the northern and northwestern exurbs of Houston, including Conroe, part of Huntsville, Willis, Magnolia, Brookshire and Hempstead, along with parts of west Houston including Briar Forest, the western end of the Energy Corridor and most of the Bear Creek and Addicks areas in west Harris County. The incumbent is Republican Morgan Luttrell, who was elected with 68.2% of the vote in 2024. Eliminated in primary • Jay Fondren, nonprofit official Withdrawn • Brett Jensen, businessman (remained on ballot) Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary Nominee • Laura Jones, former chair of the San Jacinto County Democratic Party and nominee for this district in 2022 and 2024 Endorsements Fundraising Results General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 9==
District 9
The new 9th district, which previously encompassed southern portions of Houston and such suburbs as Missouri City and was represented by incumbent Democrat Al Green, has been relocated to the eastern portions of the Houston area as a result of redistricting; Green is now running for reelection in the newly redrawn 18th district. Endorsements Fundraising Polling Results Republican primary Advanced to runoffBriscoe Cain, state representative from the 128th district (2017–present) • Alex Mealer, METRO board member and nominee for Harris County judge in 2022 Eliminated in primary • Jaimy Blanco, real estate investor • Steve Stockman, former U.S. representative from the 36th district (2013–2015) and this district (1995–1997) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014 • Terry Thain, railcar terminal operations manager • Dwayne Stovall, business owner and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 (endorsed Mims, remained on ballot) • Deddrick Wilmer, mortage broker General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 10==
District 10
The new 10th district stretches from downtown and western Austin (including Lake Travis) through the Bryan–College Station area, to a rural stretch of east central Texas between Houston, Dallas and Tyler, including Crockett, Livingston and Madisonville. The incumbent is Republican Michael McCaul, who was re-elected in 2024 with 63.6% of the vote. McCaul is not seeking reelection in the winding district, which gave 60.5% of the vote to Donald Trump and 58.4% to Ted Cruz in 2024. • Ben Bius, businessman, candidate for Texas's 12th House of Representatives district in 2022 and 2024, and nominee in 2000 • Kara King, mayor of Bee Cave • Jenny Garcia Sharon, volunteer caregiver DeclinedMichael McCaul, incumbent U.S. representative Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary Nominee • Caitlin Rourk, marketing employee Eliminated in primary • Dawn Marshall, college professor Endorsements Fundraising Results General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 11==
District 11
The new 11th district is based in midwestern Texas, including Midland, Odessa, San Angelo and Brownwood, and also includes a thin stretch of the Austin area along the Travis and Williamson county lines including Pflugerville and Horseshoe Bay. The incumbent is Republican August Pfluger, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024. The majority White district has a voting age population that is 35.3% Hispanic, and in 2024 gave Donald Trump 66.5% of the vote and Ted Cruz 64%. Republican primary NomineeAugust Pfluger, incumbent U.S. representative Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary Nominee • Claire Reynolds, attorney Eliminated in primary • Pedro Ruiz, mental health counselor and U.S. Marine Corps veteran Endorsements Fundraising Results General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 12==
District 12
The new 12th district is in the western part of the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex, and takes in most of Parker County and western Tarrant County, including most of the western half of Fort Worth and such inner suburbs as Benbrook, Saginaw, and Haltom City, as well as Weatherford in Parker County. The incumbent is Republican Craig Goldman, who was elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2024. Donald Trump won 61.3% and Ted Cruz 57.9% in 2024. Republican primary NomineeCraig Goldman, incumbent U.S. representative Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary Nominee • Angela Rodriguez Prilliman, entrepreneur Eliminated in primary • Kenneth Morgan-Aguilera, nonprofit executive director and U.S. Army veteran Endorsements Fundraising Results General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 13==
District 13
The new 13th district encompasses most of the Texas Panhandle and the western part of the Texoma region, containing the cities of Amarillo and Wichita Falls, as well as the college town of Denton in Denton County. The incumbent is Republican Ronny Jackson, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024. Endorsements Fundraising Results General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 14==
District 14
The new 14th district remains anchored in Galveston County in the southeast corner of Greater Houston, including Galveston, League City, Friendswood and Texas City, and also now extends westward to Manvel and Alvin in north central Brazoria County and southern Missouri City in Fort Bend County, as well east across Bolivar Peninsula to Port Arthur and Orange in the Golden Triangle area. The incumbent is Republican Randy Weber, who was re-elected with 68.7% of the vote in 2024. • Richard Davis, small business owner Eliminated in primary • Konstantinos Vogiatzis, certified public accountant Endorsements Fundraising Results Runoff results General election Predictions Fundraising Results ==District 15==
District 15
The new 15th district stretches from Hidalgo County in the Rio Grande Valley (including Edinburg and Weslaco), and now extends northeasterly into several rural counties between Corpus Christi, San Antonio and Victoria, including such communities as Falfurrias, Alice, Sinton, Beeville, Cuero and Gonzales. The incumbent is Republican Monica De La Cruz, who was re-elected with 57.1% of the vote in 2024. Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary NomineeBobby Pulido, Tejano musician Eliminated in primary • Ada Cuellar, physician Endorsements Fundraising Polling Results General election Post-primary endorsements Predictions Fundraising Polling Results ==District 16==
District 16
The new 16th district is entirely within El Paso County, taking in El Paso and such surrounding suburbs as Socorro, Horizon City, and Anthony. The incumbent is Democrat Veronica Escobar, who was re-elected with 59.5% of the vote in 2024. Not on ballot • Arturo Andujo, college physics graduate Endorsements Fundraising Results Republican primary Advanced to runoff • Manuel Barraza, paralegal • Adam Bauman, business owner Eliminated in primary • Hector Cabildo, entrepreneur • Raul Castaneda, retiree • Marisela Chavez, retiree • Deliris Montanez Berrios, retired medical worker and Democratic candidate for this district in 2022 • Ruben Rios, teacher Fundraising Results General election Predictions ==District 17==
District 17
The new 17th district is anchored in Waco and its surrounding metropolitan area, with a small sliver of the district extending into the east side of Temple and a southern sliver of Williamson County, with the Austin suburb of Cedar Park connected to the rest of the district via a small sliver of Round Rock. The incumbent is Republican Pete Sessions, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2024. The new district gave 60% of the vote to Donald Trump and 57.5% to Ted Cruz in 2024. Republican primary NomineePete Sessions, incumbent U.S. representative Withdrawn • Rob Brown, pastor (running in the 10th district) Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary Advanced to runoff • Milah Flores, nonprofit professional • Casey Shepard, attorney Eliminated in primary • James Gordon Mitchell, former school board trustee Endorsements Fundraising Results Rruoff results General election Predictions ==District 18==
District 18
The new 18th district has two incumbents: Democrat Al Green, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024 for the 9th district, and Christian Menefee who succeeded Sylvester Turner, who died unexpectedly in March 2025, in a special election runoff held in January 2026. • Christian Menefee, incumbent U.S. representative Eliminated in primary • Gretchen Brown, defense analyst Endorsements Fundraising Polling ;Amanda Edwards vs. Al Green vs. Christian Menefee Results Runoff results Republican Primary Nominee • Ronald Whitfield, landscaping contractor and candidate for this district in 2025 Endorsements Results General election Predictions ==District 19==
tickerdossier.comtickerdossier.substack.com