This district is competitive, with a
Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. During the mid-2000s and the 2010s, the district was extremely competitive, having changed hands in five of the last eight elections, with an incumbent losing reelection each time. The streak was broken in 2020 when incumbent Democrat
Chris Pappas won reelection; he later won reelection again in 2022, becoming the first representative elected to a third consecutive term in the district since
John E. Sununu. The district was a presidential bellwether starting in
2000, voting for the winner by narrow margins each time until
2024, when
Kamala Harris narrowly carried the district. == Composition ==