Market2014 New York gubernatorial election
Company Profile

2014 New York gubernatorial election

The 2014 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Democratic governor Andrew Cuomo sought re-election to a second term in office, though incumbent lieutenant governor Robert Duffy did not seek re-election. Cuomo and his running mate, former U.S. representative Kathy Hochul, won contested primaries, while Republican Rob Astorino, the Westchester County Executive, and his running mate were unopposed for their party's nomination. Astorino and Moss were also cross-nominated by the Conservative Party and the Stop Common Core Party.

Democratic primary
Progressive minor parties saw an opportunity to make headway in the state due to Cuomo's relatively conservative stances on taxes and spending. A poll commissioned by businessman and progressive political activist Bill Samuels in March 2014 indicated that even an unknown left-wing third-party challenger on the Working Families Party line could garner between 6% and 13% of the vote without threatening Cuomo's chances of winning re-election. A later poll by the Siena Research Institute taken of 772 registered voters from April 12–17, 2014, with a margin of error of ± 3.5%, found Cuomo taking 39% to Republican candidate Rob Astorino's 24% and an unnamed Working Families Party candidate also at 24%. A Quinnipiac poll conducted in May 2014 produced a similar result to Siena's, with Cuomo at 37%, Astorino at 24% and the third-party candidate at 22%. The Working Families Party nonetheless cross-endorsed Cuomo in a bitterly contested convention vote, leaving Howie Hawkins of the Green Party as the sole progressive challenger assured of a place on the ballot. Byron Brown, the Mayor of Buffalo; Kathy Hochul, a former U.S. representative; Steve Bellone, the current Suffolk County Executive; Kevin Law, the former deputy Suffolk County executive; and Republican Joanie Mahoney, the County Executive of Onondaga County; were considered to be potential replacements. Within the Cuomo administration, potential names included Matt Driscoll, the former mayor of Syracuse; RoAnn Destito, a former Assemblywoman; and Cesar A. Perales, the Secretary of State of New York. Hochul was revealed as Cuomo's running mate during the state Democratic convention on May 21, 2014. Candidates DeclaredAndrew Cuomo, incumbent governor • Running mate: Kathy Hochul, former U.S. representative • No running mate • Zephyr Teachout, associate professor of law at Fordham University • Running mate: Tim Wu, professor of law at Columbia UniversitySam Sloan, chess player, publisher, Libertarian candidate for governor in 2010 and War Veterans nominee for Mayor of New York City in 2013 (removed from ballot) ==Republican primary==
Republican primary
No Republican gubernatorial primary was held in 2014. It was believed that the Republicans would nominate someone who was not up for re-election in 2014 and so did not have to give up their office to run, and who would use the campaign to raise their profile for a more competitive statewide bid in the future. Rob Astorino, the Westchester County Executive and the only Republican to enter the race, was not up for re-election until 2017. Business magnate and television personality Donald Trump flirted with a run, but decided against it, instead running for president as a Republican in 2016 and winning. Other potential candidates who did not run were former U.S. representative Vito Fossella, Dutchess County Executive Marcus Molinaro and businessman and 2010 candidate for New York State Comptroller Harry Wilson. as did Rensselaer County Executive Kathleen M. Jimino and former United States Attorney for the Western District of New York Michael A. Battle. On May 13, Astorino announced Chemung County Sheriff Chris Moss as his running mate. On May 15, 2014, the Republican Party nominated Astorino for Governor of New York and Moss for Lieutenant Governor of New York. Candidates DeclaredRob Astorino, Westchester County ExecutiveChris Collins, U.S. representative and former Erie County Executive • Edward F. Cox, lawyer, chairman of the New York Republican State Committee and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006Chris Gibson, U.S. representative • Christopher Jacobs, Erie County Clerk and former Secretary of State of New YorkSteven McLaughlin, New York State Assemblyman • Carl Paladino, Buffalo Public Schools Board of Education member and nominee for governor in 2010Donald Trump, business magnate and television personality ==Major third parties==
Major third parties
Besides the Democratic and Republican parties, the Conservative, Green, Independence and Working Families parties are qualified New York parties. These parties have automatic ballot access. Conservative Conservative Party chairman Michael R. Long endorsed Rob Astorino in February 2014. On May 31, 2014, the Party nominated Astorino and Moss for governor and lieutenant governor, respectively. NomineeRob Astorino, Republican nominee Green In contrast to the other qualified parties, the Green Party of New York traditionally endorses its own candidates. The party held its nominating convention on May 17, 2014. NomineeHowie Hawkins, labor activist and Green Party nominee for governor in 2010 • Running mate: Brian Jones, teacher, activist and actor from New York City Despite the controversy, Cuomo accepted the nomination on May 22, 2014. NomineeAndrew Cuomo, incumbent governor Working Families The Working Families Party traditionally cross-endorses Democrats, but many of its members (most of which are labor unions) have expressed reservations over endorsing incumbent governor Andrew Cuomo as they did in 2010. The WFP convention, held on May 31, chose Cuomo over professor Zephyr Teachout by a 59%–41% margin in a contentious floor vote. Cuomo's supporters negotiated an agreement in which the governor would support the party agenda in exchange for their vote, expressly attempting to keep the party line solely as a second line for the Democrats; this agreement was met with widespread and vocal skepticism from Teachout's supporters, who insisted the WFP hold to its principles and that Cuomo could not be trusted to hold up to his end of the bargain. Candidates NomineeAndrew Cuomo, incumbent governor DeclaredHowie Hawkins, presumptive Green Party nominee • Zephyr Teachout, law professor at Fordham University DeclinedDiane Ravitch, former Assistant Secretary of Education • Bill Samuels, activist. Samuels dropped out of the race after Teachout lost the WFP nomination to Cuomo, thus implying that Samuels was planning to be Teachout's running mate. ==Minor third parties==
Minor third parties
Any candidate not among the six qualified New York parties (Democratic, Republican, Conservative, Green, Independence and Working Families) must petition their way onto the ballot; they do not face primary elections. Independent nominating petitions began collecting signatures on July 8 and were due to the state by August 19. Libertarian The Libertarian Party of New York held its nominating convention on April 26, 2014. The nominating process required five rounds of voting, after which Michael McDermott was nominated. Candidates Nominee • Michael McDermott, real estate broker and nominee for New York's 3rd congressional district in 2012 Unsuccessful • Richard Cooper, resident of WestburyRandy Credico, comedian, activist, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and Tax Wall Street nominee for Mayor of New York City in 2013 Cohn is the only candidate on the ballot who did not participate in the lone gubernatorial debate. Stop Common Core The "Stop Common Core Party" (renamed after the election to the Reform Party) is a single-issue ballot line conceived by Republican nominee Rob Astorino. NomineeRob Astorino, Republican nominee Women's Equality The Women's Equality Party is a political party created by Gov. Andrew Cuomo and his allies. The Party was designed to take advantage of New York's electoral fusion laws, which allow candidates to appear on multiple parties' lines in the same election. The Party is named after the Women's Equality Act, a bill that failed in the New York State Senate in 2013 and 2014 due to a stalemate over an abortion rights provision in the bill. The formation of the Party was particularly controversial among feminists (particularly Zephyr Teachout, Cuomo's primary opponent) and was noted for its use of questionable campaign imagery, particularly a tour bus that bore a striking resemblance to a box of Tampax tampons. Additionally, the Working Families Party asserted that the formation of the Women's Equality Party was an attempt to undermine the WFP as a viable party in New York politics. NomineeAndrew Cuomo, incumbent governor Failed to make ballotSocialist Workers Party: For the second straight election, the Socialist Workers Party waged a write-in candidacy for the governor's seat, with John Studer as the nominee. • Constitution Party: Donna Mulvihill, a homeschooling activist from Honeoye Lake, sought petitions to run for governor on the Constitution Party line before abruptly withdrawing from the race the day before petitions were due, citing her father's death. This is the second consecutive election in which the party has failed to collect enough signatures for governor. • Life and Justice Party: Disability rights activist Michael Carey submitted petitions to form a Life and Justice Party with himself as the gubernatorial candidate and with Republican lieutenant governor nominee Chris Moss listed as his running mate. Moss did not accept his designation as the lieutenant governor candidate on the Life and Justice line. The petitions were later ruled invalid. • Rent Is Too Damn High Party: Perennial candidate Jimmy McMillan made a fourth attempt at running for governor on his self-created line, with Christialle Felix as his running mate. His petitions were later challenged and invalidated after it was discovered McMillan had photocopied many of the petitions to give the appearance of more signatures. ==General election==
General election
In July 2014, Astorino called for New Jersey governor Chris Christie to resign his position as chair of the Republican Governors Association due to his refusal to support Astorino's campaign, which Christie publicly characterized as a "lost cause." Astorino claimed that Christie refused to support him due to Christie's relationship with Cuomo. Debates • Complete video of debate, October 22, 2014 Predictions Polling Results {{align|right| {{Election box begin New York City results By county Counties that flipped from Democratic to RepublicanCayuga (largest municipality: Auburn) • Chemung (largest municipality: Elmira) • Chenango (largest municipality: Norwich) • Columbia (largest municipality: Hudson) • Cortland (largest municipality: Cortland) • Delaware (largest municipality: Sidney) • Dutchess (County Seat: Poughkeepsie) • Greene (largest municipality: Catskill) • Herkimer (largest municipality: German Flatts) • Jefferson (largest municipality: Le Ray) • Lewis (largest municipality: Lowville) • Livingston (largest municipality: Geneseo) • Madison (largest municipality: Oneida) • Monroe (largest municipality: Rochester) • Montgomery (largest municipality: Amsterdam) • Oneida (largest municipality: Utica) • Ontario (largest municipality: Geneva) • Orange (largest municipality: Kiryas Joel) • Oswego (largest municipality: Oswego) • Otsego (largest municipality: Oneonta) • Putnam (largest municipality: Lake Carmel) • Rensselaer (County Seat: Troy) • St. Lawrence (largest municipality: Massena) • Saratoga (largest municipality: Saratoga Springs) • Schenectady (largest municipality: Schenectady) • Schuyler (largest municipality: Watkins Glen) • Seneca (largest municipality: Seneca Falls) • Suffolk (largest municipality: Brookhaven) • Sullivan (largest municipality: Monticello) • Ulster (largest municipality: Kingston) • Warren (largest municipality: Glens Falls) • Washington (largest municipality: Hudson Falls) • Wayne (largest municipality: Newark) • Yates (largest municipality: Penn Yan) Counties that flipped from Republican to DemocraticErie (largest municipality: Buffalo) By congressional district Cuomo won 18 of 27 congressional districts. Both candidates won two districts held by the other party. ==Analysis==
Analysis
Cuomo handily defeated Astorino by a 54.19%-40.25% margin, Cuomo won all five counties of New York City, along with Westchester, Rockland, and Nassau counties; Cuomo carried New York City 75.6% to 17.3% (730,088 votes to 168,460 votes), while narrowly losing the Upstate 44.1% to 47.4% (1,213,159 votes to 1,302,182 votes). The Green Party took Row D on the ballot, ==References==
tickerdossier.comtickerdossier.substack.com