The Nixon shock has been widely considered to be a political success but an economic failure for bringing on the
1973–1975 recession, the
stagflation of the 1970s, and the instability of floating currencies.
Domestic political effect in the United States Politically, Nixon's actions were a great success. The American public believed the government was rescuing them from
price gougers and an exchange crisis which they blamed on foreign powers. The
Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 33 points on August 16, its largest daily gain ever at that point, and
The New York Times editorial read, "We unhesitatingly applaud the boldness with which the President has moved." Nixon was
re-elected president in 1972 by a historic landslide margin over
George McGovern.
Immediate impacts Following Nixon's announcement, the
Bank of Japan (BOJ) intervened significantly in the
foreign exchange market to prevent the
yen from appreciating. On August 16–17, 1971, the BOJ had to buy $1.3 billion to support the U.S. dollar and maintain the yen at the old rate of 360
JPY/
USD. As a result of its fixed exchange rate policy, Japan's foreign exchange reserves rapidly increased to $2.7 billion a week later and $4 billion the following week. Nevertheless, the large-scale BOJ intervention could not prevent the depreciation of the U.S. dollar against the yen. France also was willing to allow the dollar to depreciate against the
franc but not allow the franc to appreciate against gold. in U.S. dollars sharply increased.
Smithsonian Agreement and floating exchange rate In December 1971, representatives of the
Group of Ten met at the Smithsonian Institution in Washington, D.C. to reassess exchange rates and revalue their currencies. At the meetings, the U.S. pledged to peg the dollar at $38/ounce of gold, effectively devaluing it by 7.9%, while the other countries agreed to appreciate their currencies against the dollar with ±2.25%
trading bands against the U.S. dollar. The group also agreed on a plan to balance the world financial system using
special drawing rights, and the U.S. import surcharge was dropped. Although the Smithsonian Agreement was hailed by Nixon as a fundamental reorganization of international monetary markets, the dollar price in the gold market continued to cause pressure on its official rate. After a further 10% devaluation of the U.S. dollar was announced on February 14, 1973,
Japan and the
Organisation for European Economic Co-operation transitioned to a
floating exchange rate system. Over the next decade, most of the industrialized world followed suit. Under the floating rate system, the value of the U.S. dollar plunged by a third in the 1970s and was subject to enormous
speculation against foreign currencies. The Nixon shock also indirectly led to the development of
SWIFT, as the collapse of Bretton Woods and the shift to floating exchange rates exposed weakness in the telex-based system. This prompted international partners to find a way to move away from an entirely US control regime of payment settlement. Today, the governments and
central banks of most developed economies no longer utilize currency exchange rates to administer
monetary policy; instead, they use interest rates and, to a lesser extent since the 1980s, adjustments to the
money supply to prioritize
price stability. In many developing economies, central banks continue to target a
fixed exchange rate system. == Legacy ==