Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election

Campaign period The campaign period for the April 28, 2025 election started after the election was called on March 23, 2025. s, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals. Pre-campaign period s, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals. Voting intention with LPC-NDP merger/alliance ====Under Justin Trudeau leadership==== ====Under Jagmeet Singh leadership==== Voting intention with Liberal successor candidates ====Under Mark Carney leadership==== ====Under Chrystia Freeland leadership==== ====Under Karina Gould leadership==== == Regional polls ==

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls. Atlantic Canada New Brunswick Nova Scotia Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Central Canada Quebec Ontario City of Toronto Peel Region City of Mississauga Western Canada Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia == Leadership polls ==

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister: March 2025 – April 2025 Trendline included). November 2022 – March 2025 September 2022 – November 2022 February 2022 – September 2022 ==Seat projections==

Ahead of the election, YouGov published a Multilevel Regression with Poststratification (MRP) model for the election. This large-scale poll and methodology enables the projection of seat totals. Below is their central prediction for seat totals. == Government approval polls ==