Historians have long tried to identify the disease behind the Plague of Athens. The disease has traditionally been considered an outbreak of the
bubonic plague in its many forms, but a reconsideration of the reported symptoms and epidemiology have led scholars to advance alternative explanations: these include
typhus, smallpox,
measles, and
toxic shock syndrome. Based upon striking descriptive similarities with recent outbreaks in Africa, as well as the fact that the Athenian plague itself came from Africa (as Thucydides recorded),
Ebola or a related
viral hemorrhagic fever has been considered. Given the possibility that profiles of a known disease may have changed over time, or that the plague was caused by a disease that no longer exists, the exact nature of the Athenian plague may never be known. In addition, crowding caused by the influx of refugees into the city led to inadequate food and water supplies and a probable proportionate increase in insects, lice, rats, and waste. These conditions would have encouraged more than one epidemic disease during the outbreak. The Athenian plague being caused by a combination of multiple diseases has been proposed. However, Thucydides suggested that survivors gained clear immunity from it, which could not occur in a combination disease scenario as immunity to one disease would not necessarily confer immunity to another.
Typhus In January 1999, the
University of Maryland devoted their fifth annual medical conference, dedicated to notorious case histories, to the Plague of Athens. They concluded that the disease that killed the Greeks was typhus. "Epidemic typhus fever is the best explanation," said Dr. David Durack, consulting professor of medicine at
Duke University. "It hits hardest in times of war and privation, it has about 20 percent mortality, it kills the victim after about seven days, and it sometimes causes a striking complication: gangrene of the tips of the fingers and toes. The Plague of Athens had all these features." In typhus cases, progressive dehydration, debilitation, and cardiovascular collapse ultimately cause the patient's death. This medical opinion is supported by the opinion of
A. W. Gomme, who wrote a comprehensive annotated edition of Thucydides and who also believed typhus was the cause of the epidemic. This opinion is expressed in his monumental work
An Historical Commentary on Thucydides, completed after Gomme's death by A. Andrewes and K. J. Dover. Angelos Vlachos (), a member of the Academy of Athens and a diplomat, in his
Remarks on Thucydides (, [1992] I: 177–178) acknowledges and supports Gomme's opinion: "Today, according to Gomme, it is generally acceptable that it was typhus" (""). The theory has also found recent support in a study of the plague by Greek epidemiologists.
Typhoid Symptoms Symptoms generally associated with
typhoid resemble Thucydides' description. They include: The onset of fever in typhoid is typically slow and subtle, and typhoid generally kills later in the disease course. As typhoid is most commonly transmitted through poor hygiene habits and public sanitation conditions in crowded urban areas, it is an unlikely cause of a plague emerging in the less urbanized Africa, as reported by Thucydides.
DNA analysis A 2005
DNA study of dental pulp from teeth recovered from an ancient Greek burial pit, led by orthodontist Dr. Manolis Papagrigorakis of the University of Athens, found DNA sequences similar to those of
Salmonella enterica (
S. enterica), the organism that causes typhoid fever. A second group of researchers, including American evolutionary molecular biologist
Dr. Beth Shapiro of the
University of California, Santa Cruz, disputed the Papagrigorakis team's findings, citing what they claim are serious methodological flaws. In a letter to the
International Journal of Infectious Diseases, Shapiro et al. stated that "while this DNA analysis confirms that the Athens sequence is possibly
Salmonella, it demonstrates clearly that it is not typhoid." The technique used by the Papagrigorakis team (
PCR) has shown itself to be prone to contamination-induced false-positive results, and the source burial site is known to have been heavily trafficked in antiquity by hogs, carriers of another
Salmonella serovar that may have been confused with the one that causes typhoid fever. Nonetheless, the Papagrigorakis team asserts that the basis of this refutation is flimsy, and that the methodology used by the Shapiro team has historically produced conflicting results.
Viral hemorrhagic fever Thucydides' narrative pointedly refers to increased risk among caregivers, more typical of the person-to-person contact spread of viral hemorrhagic fever (e.g.,
Ebola virus disease or
Marburg virus) than typhus or typhoid. Unusual in the history of plagues during military operations, besieging Spartan troops are described as not having been afflicted by the illness raging near them within the city. Thucydides' description further invites comparison with VHF in the character and sequence of symptoms developed and of the usual fatal outcome on about the eighth day. Some scientists have interpreted Thucydides' expression "" () as the unusual symptom of hiccups, which is now recognized as a common finding in Ebola virus disease. Outbreaks of VHF in Africa in 2012 and 2014 reinforced observations of the increased hazard to caregivers and the necessity of barrier precautions for preventing disease spread related to grief rituals and funerary rites. The
2015 West African Ebola outbreak noted the persistence of effects on genitalia and eyes in some survivors, both described by Thucydides. With an up to 21-day clinical incubation period, and up to 565-day infectious potential recently demonstrated in a semen-transmitted infection, movement of Ebola via Nile commerce into the busy port of Piraeus is plausible. Ancient Greek intimacy with African sources is reflected in accurate renditions of monkeys in the art of frescoes and pottery, most notably guenons (
Cercopithecus), the type of primates responsible for transmitting Marburg virus into Germany and Yugoslavia when that disease was first characterized in 1967. Circumstantially tantalizing is the requirement for the large quantity of ivory used in the Athenian sculptor Phidias’ two monumental ivory and gold statues of Athena and of Zeus (one of the
Seven Wonders), which were fabricated in the same decade. Never again in antiquity was ivory used on such a large scale. A second ancient narrative suggestive of hemorrhagic fever etiology is that of
Titus Lucretius Carus. Writing in the 1st century BC, Lucretius characterized the Athenian plague as having bloody discharges from bodily orifices (
Book 6.1146–47: "sudabant etiam fauces intrinsecus atrae / sanguine" – the throat sweated within, black with blood). That descriptor may have been derived from direct observation because Lucretius cited scientific predecessors in Greek Sicily-
Empedocles and
Acron. While none of the original works of Acron, a physician, are extant, it is reported that he died c. 430 BC after traveling from Sicily to Athens to assist against the plague. Unfortunately, DNA sequence-based identification is limited by the inability of some important pathogens to leave a "footprint" retrievable from archaeological remains after several millennia. The lack of a durable signature by RNA viruses means some etiologies, notably the hemorrhagic fever viruses, are not testable hypotheses using currently available scientific techniques. ==References==