Paul Hackett, the Democratic nominee for Congress faced Schmidt in the August 2, 2005,
special election. Hackett was described by
The New York Times as six foot four and "garrulous, profane, and quick with a barked retort or a mischievous joke". Hackett had organized the recall of a councilman in
Milford in 1995 and was elected to the council in his place, serving three years. He had also just returned from a tour of duty in
Iraq and played up his military service in the campaign.
Contesting a Republican district John Green, a
political science professor at the
University of Akron told
USA Today "It's a real steep uphill climb for Hackett. It is such a Republican district." Jane S. Anderson, an adjunct professor of
political science at the
University of Cincinnati who has unsuccessfully run for the Cincinnati city council and the
Ohio House as a Democrat, told the
Associated Press :It's definitely worth it to the Democrats to put in the effort if only to keep the party energized. Even if Paul Hackett loses, it is very important for the party for him to do well. It could be seen as a sign of opportunities for Democrats in other GOP strongholds. Martin Gottlieb of the
Dayton Daily News wrote a Republican landslide in the district was "a self-fulfilling prophecy": :It is so overwhelmingly Republican that Democrats typically don't make a real effort as a party. A candidate puts himself up, but generally it's somebody who has no political strengths and gets no financial contributions or volunteer help to speak of. The campaign gets little attention. And the prophecy gets fulfilled.
National attention on the race Hackett attracted national attention to what had always been considered a safe Republican district.
The New York Times ran a front-page story on him and articles appeared in
USA Today and
The Washington Post.
USA Today wrote "if Democrats could design a dream candidate to capitalize on national distress about the war in Iraq, he would look a lot like the tall, telegenic Marine Reserve major who finished a seven-month tour of Iraq in March." The
National Republican Congressional Committee, the official Republican Party body that helps candidates for the
United States House of Representatives, announced on July 28 it was spending $265,000 for television ads in the Cincinnati market, covering the western part of the district, and $250,000 for ads in the
Huntington, West Virginia, market, covering the eastern half.
Carl Forti told
The Cincinnati Enquirer "we decided to bury him" after Hackett told
USA Today, in a story published that morning, "I don't like the son-of-a-bitch that lives in the
White House but I'd put my life on the line for him." Forti said the NRCC had "no concern that she will lose. She will not lose." The NRCC ran commercials noting Hackett had voted for tax increases while on the Milford council and quoting his statement on his website that he would be "happy" to pay higher taxes. The NRCC was silent about Schmidt's own votes to raise taxes, but the
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the NRCC's counterpart, was not. The DCCC responded with commercials noting that Schmidt had voted to raise the
sales tax by 20% and the
excise tax on
gasoline by 30% when she was in the legislature. A mailing to voters by the DCCC reiterated these statements under the headline "Who Voted for the Taft Sales Tax Increase—the Largest in Ohio History?" and asked "can we trust Jean Schmidt to protect middle-class families in Washington?"
Fundraising After her primary win, Schmidt flew to
Washington, D.C., to attend fundraisers and have a campaign commercial shot featuring her with
George W. Bush. Having far more money than her opponent, she was able to afford a television campaign and distributed many large campaign signs throughout the district. However, her financial edge diminished as of late July. Hackett's limited budget had meant his campaign was limited to word of mouth, one-on-one personal campaigning, and yard signs, of which there were many, despite the strong Republican tilt of the district. One tactic to ensure his name was seen was Hackett's campaign affixing signs to all of the overpasses of
I-71 in eastern
Hamilton County. However, with the help of Democrats from across the nation, Hackett raised several hundred thousand dollars in the closing weeks of the campaign. One main reason Democrats have decided to rally around Hackett was that, had he won, he would have been the first veteran of the
2003 invasion of Iraq to serve in Congress. Late in the campaign Schmidt claimed
Mark Kirk, Republican Congressman from
Illinois was the first Congressman to serve in Iraq, but Kirk said he had never actually been on tour in Iraq.
Endorsements State and national endorsements Schmidt won the endorsement of the
NRA Political Victory Fund, which frustrated her opponent, a long-time NRA member. She also won the endorsements of the
International Association of Fire Fighters, the
National Federation of Independent Business, the
National Association of Homebuilders, the Ohio Taxpayers Association, the Ohio Small Business PAC, and the Ohio
Farm Bureau.
Local endorsements Schmidt also won the endorsements of the Southern Ohio Board of
Realtors and the
Fraternal Order of Police Queen City Lodge #69. The Coalition Opposed to Additional Spending and Taxes a Cincinnati-based group founded by
Tom Brinkman (who lost the GOP primary to Schmidt), began running ads in the last week of July urging voters to skip the election. COAST's president, Jim Urling, told
The Cincinnati Enquirer that this might help elect Hackett, but "we think it will be easier to remove a Democrat next year than an incumbent Republican posing as a conservative." For the general election, the Democratic
Dayton Daily News endorsed Hackett. The
Daily News said Schmidt's attacks on Senators
Mike DeWine and
George Voinovich–Schmidt had asked "what kind of men do we have in Washington representing us right now? One refuses to back the president and the other is crying on national television"–were "remarkably classless" and "seemed to be saying that voters who like legislators who exercise occasional independence from their party should not vote for her."
The Cincinnati Post also endorsed Hackett. It noted Schmidt is the latest in a line of "Republican patricians" and "likely to be a dependable vote for the Bush administration."
The Cincinnati Enquirer, a Republican paper, wrote Hackett "is an attractive candidate with many qualities to admire" but endorsed Schmidt. The
Enquirer conceded Schmidt "has a troubling tendency to offer superficial answers on issues she may not have carefully studied. Some of her comments can lack tact, and she relies too often on anecdotal evidence to prove a point," but endorsed her: :Schmidt knows the district very well, having almost a "file-card" memory to recall details about people, places and issues she's had experience with on the local level . . . she's a quick learner who knows how to make deals and get things done. Even in her relatively short time in Columbus, she proved effective in passing legislation to address her district's concerns.[https://archive.today/20130102141638/http://news.enquirer.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050731/EDIT03/507310314
Controversies Controversy arose over whether Schmidt had failed to list gifts received when she was in the
Ohio General Assembly on her financial disclosure statements. Another controversy was her ties to
Tom Noe, a major player in the
Coingate scandal. Schmidt initially denied ever meeting Noe, but Hackett produced minutes of a 2002 Ohio Board of Regents meeting attended by Schmidt. Noe was a member of the board at the time.
Election night The election was given major national attention by the television networks and other observers despite its restricted locality. Throughout the night, as returns came in, political watchers and bloggers zeroed in on the election as an indicator of American political opinion shifts. Many predictions were made everywhere, but as this district had always been a Republican stronghold, most projected a Schmidt win, even though polling was showing the race was getting tight.
Results After the election Implications for Ohio elections Following the election, many Democrats hailed the election as showing the weakness of Ohio's Republican party, which has been in control of Ohio state government for a decade, and public unhappiness with President Bush's policies. Hamilton County Democratic chairman Timothy Burke was delighted. "Paul was very critical of this president in a district that Bush carried easily last November, yet she barely hung on to win. There's a clear signal in that," he told
The Cincinnati Post on election night. The Clermont County Democratic chairman, Dave Lane, told the
Dayton Daily News "Here we are in the reddest of red districts and it was very, very close." The
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee claimed in a press release Hackett's strong showing meant trouble for Mike DeWine's reelection campaign in 2006, especially since his son
Pat had lost the Republican primary for the seat. Ohio Republican Party political director Jason Mauk said:
""To the extent that voters in that district were sending a message to the Republican Party at the state or national level, we have heard that message and we will continue to listen to their concerns." Peter W. Bronson, a conservative columnist for
The Cincinnati Enquirer, wrote "Hackett's surprising finish was less a repudiation of Bush than a repudiation of
Ohio Governor Bob Taft, whose name is now officially
radioactive poison." Bronson admitted Hackett "ran a strong campaign" but said he did so well only because of "the ugly primary" on the Republican side, fears that Schmidt was "another Taft
RINO" (i.e. "Republican in name only") and apathy by Republican voters, not dissatisfaction with Bush or Republicans in general. John Nichols of the
Madison Capital Times in
Wisconsin saw it differently. "The district had been so radically
gerrymandered by Republican governors and legislators that it was all-but-unimaginable that a Democrat could ever be competitive there" and that Hackett, "a smart telegenic Iraq War veteran", had been "swiftboated" in the final days of the campaign by "Republican operatives and right-wing talk radio hosts". As a measure, perhaps, of both Schmidt's unpopularity, and a growing anti-Republican trend in Ohio due to the unpopularity of Bush and Ohio Governor
Bob Taft, Schmidt defeated
Victoria Wells Wulsin, the second-place finisher in the 2005 Democratic primary, by an even smaller margin than that by which she had defeated Hackett in 2005. In addition, Democrats swept the statewide races for US Senate, governor and lieutenant governor, attorney general, state treasurer and state auditor, while winning the seat of former Republican congressman
Bob Ney in Ohio's 18th District. Republicans did manage to win closely contested races in Ohio's 1st, 2nd and 15th Districts.
Implications for national elections The DSCC also claimed that "If Ohio is a bellwether state for next year's midterm elections, things don't look too good for the Republicans." Republicans said the election meant nothing of the sort. "There is no correlation between what happens in a special election, where turnout is very low and you have circumstances that just aren't comparable to an election that happens on an Election Day in an election year," Brian Nick of the
National Republican Senatorial Committee told
The Cincinnati Post.
The Columbus Dispatch referred to "the trauma of barely winning a Congressional district long dominated by Republicans" and quoted an anonymous source in the Republican party claiming "there is not a tougher environment in the country than Ohio right now. There is kind of a meltdown happening." Amy Walter of the
Cook Political Report told the
Dispatch "Ohio becomes the microcosm for the debate Democrats are trying to have nationally" and Democrats would argue in future campaigns "'See what happens when one party rules too long, see what happens with corruption and insider influence.'" Her boss,
Charlie Cook, told the
Los Angeles Times Hackett's "rubber stamp" charge had resonated with Ohio voters.
Mark Steyn, a conservative Canadian columnist, wrote in the
Irish Times "Paul Hackett was like a fast-forward version of the
John Kerry campaign" who "artfully neglected to mention the candidate was a Democrat." Steyn claimed that Democratic efforts to present Hackett's run as a success for the party were absurd. Former House Speaker
Newt Gingrich warned Republicans that the election was a warning sign for the 2006 midterms and that while they should not yet panic, they should "think" before it was too late. Ultimately the Democrats would make significant gains in the 2006 midterm elections, gaining 30 seats in the U.S. House and six in the Senate, and gaining control of both chambers. ==See also==