Most paleontologists have postulated that Ceratosauria split off from other theropods in the Late Triassic or earliest Jurassic. Despite this, no ceratosaurs have been discovered prior to the Early Jurassic, and even in the Middle Jurassic, species are sparse. Many scientists, such as Carrano and Sampson, have postulated the lack of specimens is due to a poor fossil record, rather than an indictment on the abundance of ceratosaurs at the time. A similarly large gap of specimens exist in the lower Cretaceous, particularly for
Abelisauridae. More recent discoveries have resulted in varying phylogenetic results concerning the relationships between
Elaphrosaurus and the derived
Cretaceous noasaurids. The precise relationship between
Ceratosaurus and the
abelisaurids is also not clearly resolved. Abelisauroidea is further divided into the
Abelisauridae and
Noasauridae, with Abelisauridae, including
Carnotaurinae. Recently, Rauhut and Carrano have placed Elaphrosaurinae inside Noasauridae while simultaneously moving the previous noasaurs into Noasaurinae. Currently the only generally-recognized ceratosaurid species outside the genus
Ceratosaurus is
Genyodectes from the
Cretaceous or
Patagonia. The taxa
Eoabelisaurus and
Ostafrikasaurus are also probable ceratosaurs, but it is unknown if they belong to Ceratosauridae. Delcourt (2018) defined Ceratosauridae as "the most inclusive clade containing
Ceratosaurus nasicornis but not
Carnotaurus sastrei". Abelisauroidea is a diverse superfamily of ceratosaurians and the sister taxon of Ceratosauridae. It is typically regarded as a
Cretaceous group, though the earliest
abelisaurid remains are known from the
Middle Jurassic of
Argentina (classified as the species
Eoabelisaurus mefi) and possibly
Madagascar (fragmentary remains of an unnamed species). Possible
abelisaurid remains (an isolated left
tibia, right
femur, and right tibia) were also discovered in
Late Jurassic Tendaguru Beds in
Tanzania. Abelisauroids flourished in the
Southern Hemisphere during the
Cretaceous period, but their origins can be traced back to at least the
Middle Jurassic, when they had a more global distribution (the earliest known abelisauroid remains come from
Australian and
South American deposits dated to about 170 million years ago). By the Cretaceous period, abelisauroids had apparently become extinct in Asia and North America, possibly due to competition from
tyrannosauroids. However, advanced abelisauroids of the family Abelisauridae persisted in the southern continents until the
Cretaceous–Paleogene extinction event million years ago. In an assessment of the phylogenetic position of
Eoabelisaurus, the analysis found it as the most basal member of the
Abelisauridae. Abelisaurid synapomorphies include the laterally covered lacrimal antorbital fossa, broad cervical prespinal fossae, anteroposteriorly short anterior caudal neural spines, absence of a ventral groove in the anterior caudals, presence of rudimentary centrodiapophyseal laminae in the anterior mid-caudals, reduced distal ginglymus in the manual phalanges, and the presence of a flexor depression in the pedal
unguals. Alternative phylogenetic placements of
Eoabelisaurus are significantly suboptimal, except for a slightly more basal position. Noasaurids had longer arms than their relatives the abelisaurids, whose arms were tiny and diminished. Although by no means as large or specialized as the arms of advanced bird-like theropods,
noasaurid arms were nevertheless capable of movement and use, possibly even for hunting in large-clawed genera such as
Noasaurus. Some genera such as
Limusaurus did have somewhat reduced arms and hands, but far from the extent that
abelisaurids acquired.
Noasaurids were also nimble and lightly built, with feet showing adaptations for running such as a long central foot bone. Noasaurids varied in size, from the small
Velocisaurus under long, to much larger genera such as
Elaphrosaurus and
Deltadromeus, which were more than in length. The oldest known ceratosaur currently described is
Saltriovenator zanellai which is dated to the Early
Sinemurian, 199-197 Ma. The origin of Ceratosauria could have been in Northern Pangea where
Saltriovenator, its close relative
Berberosaurus, and
Carmelopodus footprints have been found. The following family tree illustrates a synthesis of the relationships of the major
theropod groups based on various studies conducted in the 2010s and demonstrates the position of Ceratosauria within theropods. }} The following
cladogram shows the internal relationships within Ceratosauria following an analysis by Diego Pol and Oliver W. M. Rauhut, 2012. }} A different conclusion was reached in a 2017 paper on
Limusaurus ontogeny. Unlike other analyses,
Noasauridae was placed more basal than
Ceratosaurus, with the latter being within
Abelisauridae by definition. This was later expanded on in a 2018 paper on ceratosaur paleobiology, which named a new clade Etrigansauria, which contained the families Abelisauridae and Ceratosauridae. The following cladogram is a consensus tree of the latest phylogenies shown in the paper. {{clade| style=font-size:85%; line-height:85% == Paleobiology ==