MarketCoalition of the willing (Russo-Ukrainian war)
Company Profile

Coalition of the willing (Russo-Ukrainian war)

The coalition of the willing (CoW) is a coalition of 34 countries that have pledged strengthened support for Ukraine against Russian aggression, going further than the support delivered by the Ukraine Defense Contact Group by pledging readiness to be part of a peacekeeping force deployed on Ukrainian territory, either by providing troops or contributing in other ways. The peacekeeping force is envisaged to be deployed only the moment Ukraine and Russia sign a "comprehensive ceasefire agreement" or "peace deal" to settle the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War. The initiative, led by the United Kingdom and France, was announced by British Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer on 2 March 2025, following the 2025 London Summit on Ukraine under the motto "securing our future".

Background and chronology
|left|upright=1.36 According to a report from Le Monde, in late November 2024 Paris and London were discussing taking the lead in a coalition to be deployed in Ukraine, on terms not then defined. This was in light of Trump's return to the White House and the prospect of American disengagement from Kyiv. The option of sending troops to Ukraine, the debate on which French President Emmanuel Macron had launched at a meeting of Kyiv's allies in Paris in February 2024, was strongly opposed by some European countries, led by Germany. This scenario had not been buried however and was revived during the visit of British Prime Minister, Keir Starmer to France for the 11 November Armistice Day ceremonies. March–August 2025 Building upon these bilateral discussions aiming at creating a hard core of allies in Europe focused on Ukraine and wider European security, Starmer hosted, on 2 March 2025, the London Summit on Ukraine with Macron, Ukrainian president Zelenskyy and sixteen other world leaders, in order to coordinate support for Ukraine. Starmer characterised the meeting as addressing a "once-in-a-generation moment" for European security, stating that the time had come for decisive action rather than continued deliberation, and officially announced Britain and France would lead a European "coalition of the willing" to provide security guarantees to Ukraine and enable peace negotiations with Russia. The announcement came two days after a meeting between Zelenskyy and United States President Trump with Vice President Vance at the White House on 28 February. On 11 March 2025, the military chiefs of staff of 30 European and Commonwealth nations, as well as Japan, met in Paris for talks on the creation of an international security force for Ukraine to maintain peace should a ceasefire come into effect. On 15 March, Starmer held a virtual meeting with leaders from European and Commonwealth nations to assemble the "coalition of the willing" to consider options for a "reassurance force" to be deployed within Ukraine to deter renewed Russian attacks against the country should a ceasefire be agreed. The meeting gathered the leaders of 26 countries, including several European countries, Ukraine, Turkey, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, as well as representatives from the European Commission and NATO. On 20 March 2025, the exact shape and function of the coalition was described as still being subject to ongoing planning, but moved into an "operational phase" marked by the gathering of a meeting of military officials from 31 countries. No final decisions were announced after the meeting, but some media reported the participants had contemplated that the coalition could have two different designs depending on whether or not it should be deployed to defend a ceasefire agreement or a peace deal. Five military sub-planning groups (land, sea, air, regeneration and reconstruction) will reconvene the military officials from the 31 countries to continue discussions across three intensive planning days from 24 to 26 March at the Northwood Headquarters in England. The coalition then met again for a third high-level summit in Paris on 27 March, with an agenda to finalise the plans on how the coalition shall be designed and deployed as a military force to ensure that a potential ceasefire will be lasting for Ukraine. The agenda of the summit included drafting and debating a peace treaty proposal written by the coalition, drafting and debating how the coalition can secure a "complete ceasefire" acceptable to Ukraine, bolster aid to Ukraine (with each participating country expected to outline what it is prepared to do), and agreeing on a plan for providing long-term support for the Ukrainian army. The outcome of the meeting was unanimous agreement that: • No sanctions against Russia could be lifted as part of a temporary ceasefire agreement. • A potential sanctions relief should instead be conditioned on reaching a peace deal. • Defense chiefs from Ukraine, France and UK should soon meet in Ukraine to conduct the next stage of the detailed planning for setting up a potential reassurance force (determining the number of soldiers and type of military equipment required to be deployed after a reached peace deal, in order to deter and respond to a subsequently potential renewed Russian aggression). On 24 April 2025, The Times reported that British officials considered deploying a ground force to defend Ukraine too risky and that the plan was likely to be abandoned, with military trainers deployed to Western Ukraine instead. On 29 April 2025, it reported that Europe "would struggle to put 25,000 troops on the ground in Ukraine". Lithuania's defense minister Dovile Sakaliene reportedly said "Russia has 800,000 [troops]. Let me tell you this, if we can't even raise 64,000 that doesn't look weak – it is weak." On 17 July 2025, a week after signing Lancaster Declaration with France, the UK, as represented by defence secretary John Healey, provided an update to the House of Commons on the war in Ukraine revealing command structure, components, and supposed name of the coalition force – Multinational Force Ukraine. , prime minister of Japan, addresses the 24 October 2025 CoW summit by VTC. Tokyo. Ministry of Foreign Affairs Diplomatic friction with Russia intensified in November 2025. On November 17, the Paris headquarters was formally inaugurated. In response, Russian President Vladimir Putin demanded an explicit ban on Western military deployments on Ukrainian soil as a precondition for any peace agreement. Diplomatic efforts culminated in late November. Following intense US-Ukrainian talks in Geneva on 23 November, a controversial US-drafted "28-point" peace plan — widely criticized as pro-Russian — was replaced by a revised "19-point proposal" more acceptable to Ukraine. Two days later, on November 25, coalition leaders met to formalize a dedicated working group to align European security guarantees with American diplomatic efforts, joined by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio. The same day, Macron announced the creation of mentioned group to define the technical specifics of the military support. France and the UK subsequently inuagurated this working group to define the final contributions, mandates, and security guarantees of the MNF-U. Its mandate is to determine the specific security guarantees and national contributions for proposed MNF-U, with the participation of the United States and Turkey. In addition to summits, the coalition has convened its second ministerial (3 September, NATO HQ, Brussels) and first announced directors-level (4 November, Madrid) meetings. December 2025 – present , the coalition focused on bridging European "Article 5-style" security commitments and the skepticism regarding their credibility without direct US combat involvement. In a December briefing by European Parliament Research Service, Coalition was suggested as an 'option of last resort' for financing 2026–27 Ukrainian security needs. On 8 December, following a meeting with European leaders in London (of UK, France, Germany, Ukraine; and with the leaders of Italy, Finland, President of the European Commission and Secretary general of NATO participating virtually in the second part of the meeting by video link), president Zelenskyy confirmed that Ukraine and its European partners had prepared a revised 20-point proposal to be shared with the US, stressing that while the talks were "productive," there was still no agreement on ceding any Ukrainian territory, a compromise he stated Kyiv would never accept. The next day, news agencies specified three documents under discussion (the revised 20-point framework proposal for a peace plan, a reconstruction plan for Ukraine to be implemented after a reached ceasfire or peace, and a security guarantee agreement to be agreed between Ukraine, United States and the Coalition of the Willing), with the document about the security guarantees being requested by Ukraine and its European supporters to be 'aligned with the principles of the Coalition of the Willing'. The 11 December coalition's virtual summit official statements confirmed inviolability of borders principle and ongoing discussions regarding the detailed planning for a proposed European reassurance force as a component of the robust security guarantees being developed. Coalition, along the multinational force referred by the New York Times as 'European forces', was mentioned in the press statement of the 15 December European summit. == High-level meetings ==
High-level meetings
The coalition format serves as a mechanism to circumvent institutional stalemates, avoiding need for NATO to respond, while having an agility in a new security architecture in Europe. As CoW is not a treaty-based entity, participants membership status has been conferred by representatives attending coalition meetings. From July 2025, France and the UK are constant co-chairs of the summit meetings. , Germany joined the duumvirate twice as the third co-chair. The coalition so far held the following high-level meetings, in order to help facilitate the peace negotiation attempts aiming to reach a "comprehensive ceasefire agreement" or "peace deal" to settle the Russo-Ukrainian war: == Aims ==
Aims
The ''raison d'être of the initiative was created by the peace negotiation attempts launched and mediated by the United States between Ukraine and Russia in February 2025, as those negotiations initially did not present or offer Ukraine any substantial security guarantees to defend a potentially reached peace deal; while it was acknowledged that in order to ensure that a potential peace would be lasting for Ukraine then some stronger security guarantees than the pre-existing 1994 Budapest Memorandum'' would be needed, and at the same time became clear that the previously considered proposal to offer Ukraine an immediate membership of NATO as a security guarantee could not be realised. Besides serving the role as building up a potential peacekeeping force, the coalition also expressed readiness to increase military support for Ukraine and strengthen economic sanctions against Russia, in the event that the ongoing negotiations for a "comprehensive ceasefire" or "peace deal" would fail. In a press conference that followed the London summit, Starmer outlined four key components of the coalition's approach: Commitments s partly occupied by Russia, in light green)Originally published by USDA, June 2025|thumb|left|upright=1.36 As part of the announcement, British Prime Minister Starmer committed £1.6 billion (US$2 billion) in UK export finances to purchase more than 5,000 air defence missiles for Ukraine. The missiles will be manufactured in Belfast. Starmer emphasised that European countries would need to take primary responsibility for the initiative and "do the heavy lifting" and that the agreement would require US backing and Russian involvement. He indicated that the United Kingdom would back its security commitments with "boots on the ground, and planes in the air", regarding the possibility of UK and EU direct military presence in Ukraine to carry out a peace enforcement operation. On 30 April 2025, Estonian Prime Minister Kristen Michal offered to contribute "a company-sized unit (50 to 250 soldiers), including combat troops, instructors, and staff officers" as part of the "coalition of the willing". Portugal has pledged €226 million towards the supply of weapons and military equipment, in addition to training for pilots and drone operators. Denmark has invested in sustainable indigenous Ukrainian production of equipment (the Danish model), made possible through the support of the European Union. International law and peace enforcement framework for Ukraine The legal architecture for the coalition's peacekeeping mission is evolving in the shadow of UN precedent and international law. Deployment is to occur only with a comprehensive, signed ceasefire or peace deal, respecting Ukraine's sovereignty and the norms prohibiting intervention in active conflicts without host-country consent. Rules of engagement, status of forces, and chain of command are being negotiated in detail, taking lessons from previous 'coalitions of the willing'. , lack of specific 'reassurance force in Ukraine' legal analysis highlights the risks of ambiguity in force mandate, especially in the context of 'robust peace enforcement' (as opposed to traditional peacekeeping). The Multinational Force – Ukraine (MNF-U) is a proposed non-permanent armed multinational coalition future force, politically led by France and the United Kingdom, designed to deploy to Ukraine only following a comprehensive ceasefire agreement in the aftermath of the Russo-Ukrainian war. Conceived as a rapid deployment force in response to the ceasefire, if comprehensively agreed, it is to operate with English as its working language and under extended multinational agreements. Coalition's expected mandate to support a comprehensive ceasefire and post-war stabilization in Ukraine includes military logistics, training, force generation, naval mine‑clearing, and air policing. == Membership ==
Membership
(not pictured) at joint press conference. 10 May 2025, Mariinskyi Palace, Kyiv , the official list of members has not been disclosed. The group consists largely of European and Commonwealth countries. Australia was not represented at the 10 April 2025 meeting. Starmer publicly announced Japan had joined the coalition of the willing on 15 March 2025, however Japan did not join a high-level coalition meeting until 13 August, when Shigeru Ishiba, Prime Minister of Japan, joined the 7th CoW leaders meeting by video conference. He also attended the next two virtual meetings. Despite being represented in the virtual meeting on 15 March, and the 10 May meeting, New Zealand was not represented in subsequent 27 March and 10 April meetings. At the 6 January 2026 Coalition meeting in Paris, the following countries were represented: and according to the German newspaper Die Welt, China also contemplated joining the coalition of the willing if being invited on 22 March. The Chinese Foreign Ministry later officially denied reports that China could ever join the coalition, as partaking in a peacekeeping mission in Ukraine spearheaded by European leaders was viewed to conflict with its policy of neutrality in the Russo-Ukrainian War. == See also ==
tickerdossier.comtickerdossier.substack.com