The maximum possible result from iron fertilization, assuming the most favourable conditions and disregarding practical considerations, is 0.29 W/m2 of globally averaged negative forcing, offsetting 1/6 of current levels of
anthropogenic emissions. These benefits have been called into question by research suggesting that fertilization with iron may deplete other essential nutrients in the seawater causing reduced phytoplankton growth elsewhere — in other words, that iron concentrations limit growth more locally than they do on a global scale.
Ocean fertilization occurs naturally when
upwellings bring nutrient-rich water to the surface, as occurs when ocean currents meet an
ocean bank or a
sea mount. This form of fertilization produces the world's largest marine
habitats. Fertilization can also occur when weather carries
wind blown dust long distances over the ocean, or iron-rich minerals are carried into the ocean by
glaciers, rivers and icebergs.
Role of iron About 70% of the world's surface is covered in oceans. The part of these where light can penetrate is inhabited by
algae (and other marine life). In some oceans, algae growth and reproduction is limited by the amount of iron. Iron is a vital micronutrient for phytoplankton growth and
photosynthesis that has historically been delivered to the
pelagic sea by
dust storms from arid lands. This
Aeolian dust contains 3–5% iron and its deposition has fallen nearly 25% in recent decades. The
Redfield ratio describes the relative atomic concentrations of critical nutrients in plankton biomass and is conventionally written "106 C: 16 N: 1 P." This expresses the fact that one atom of
phosphorus and 16 of
nitrogen are required to "
fix" 106 carbon atoms (or 106 molecules of ). Research expanded this constant to "106 C: 16 N: 1 P: .001 Fe" signifying that in iron deficient conditions each atom of iron can fix 106,000 atoms of carbon, or on a mass basis, each kilogram of iron can fix 83,000 kg of carbon dioxide. The 2004 EIFEX experiment reported a carbon dioxide to iron export ratio of nearly 3000 to 1. The atomic ratio would be approximately: "3000 C: 58,000 N: 3,600 P: 1 Fe". Therefore, small amounts of iron (measured by mass parts per trillion) in
HNLC zones can trigger large phytoplankton blooms on the order of 100,000 kilograms of plankton per kilogram of iron. The size of the iron particles is critical. Particles of 0.5–1 micrometer or less seem to be ideal both in terms of sink rate and bioavailability. Particles this small are easier for
cyanobacteria and other phytoplankton to incorporate and the churning of surface waters keeps them in the
euphotic or sunlit biologically active depths without sinking for long periods. One way to add small amounts of iron to HNLC zones would be
Atmospheric Methane Removal. Atmospheric deposition is an important iron source. Satellite images and data (such as PODLER, MODIS, MSIR) combined with back-trajectory analyses identified natural sources of iron–containing dust. Iron-bearing dusts erode from soil and are transported by wind. Although most dust sources are situated in the Northern Hemisphere, the largest dust sources are located in northern and southern Africa, North America, central Asia and Australia. Heterogeneous chemical reactions in the atmosphere modify the speciation of iron in dust and may affect the bioavailability of deposited iron. The soluble form of iron is much higher in
aerosols than in soil (~0.5%). Several photo-chemical interactions with dissolved organic acids increase iron solubility in aerosols. Among these, photochemical reduction of
oxalate-bound Fe(III) from iron-containing minerals is important. The organic
ligand forms a surface complex with the Fe (III) metal center of an iron-containing mineral (such as
hematite or
goethite). On exposure to solar radiation the complex is converted to an excited energy state in which the ligand, acting as bridge and an
electron donor, supplies an electron to Fe(III) producing soluble Fe(II). Consistent with this, studies documented a distinct diel variation in the concentrations of Fe (II) and Fe(III) in which daytime Fe(II) concentrations exceed those of Fe(III).
Volcanic ash as an iron source Volcanic ash has a significant role in supplying the world's oceans with iron. Volcanic ash is composed of glass shards, pyrogenic minerals, lithic particles and other forms of ash that release nutrients at different rates depending on structure and the type of reaction caused by contact with water. Increases of
biogenic opal in the sediment record are associated with increased iron accumulation over the last million years. In August 2008, an
eruption in the Aleutian Islands deposited ash in the nutrient-limited Northeast Pacific. This ash and iron deposition resulted in one of the largest phytoplankton blooms observed in the subarctic.
Carbon sequestration Previous instances of biological carbon sequestration triggered major climatic changes, lowering the temperature of the planet, such as the
Azolla event. Plankton that generate
calcium or
silicon carbonate skeletons, such as
diatoms,
coccolithophores and
foraminifera, account for most direct sequestration. When these organisms die their carbonate skeletons sink relatively quickly and form a major component of the carbon-rich deep sea precipitation known as
marine snow. Marine snow also includes fish fecal pellets and other organic detritus, and steadily falls thousands of meters below active plankton blooms. Of the carbon-rich biomass generated by plankton blooms, half (or more) is generally consumed by grazing organisms (
zooplankton,
krill, small fish, etc.) but 20 to 30% sinks below into the colder water strata below the
thermocline. Much of this fixed carbon continues into the abyss, but a substantial percentage is redissolved and remineralized. At this depth, however, this carbon is now suspended in deep currents and effectively isolated from the atmosphere for centuries.
Analysis and quantification Evaluation of the biological effects and verification of the amount of carbon actually sequestered by any particular bloom involves a variety of measurements, combining ship-borne and remote sampling, submarine filtration traps, tracking buoy
spectroscopy and
satellite telemetry. Unpredictable ocean currents can remove experimental iron patches from the pelagic zone, invalidating the experiment. The potential of fertilization to tackle global warming is illustrated by the following figures. If
phytoplankton converted all the
nitrate and
phosphate present in the surface mixed layer across the entire
Antarctic circumpolar current into
organic carbon, the resulting carbon dioxide deficit could be compensated by uptake from the
atmosphere amounting to about 0.8 to 1.4
gigatonnes of carbon per year. This quantity is comparable in magnitude to annual
anthropogenic fossil fuels combustion of approximately 6 gigatonnes. The
Antarctic circumpolar current region is one of several in which iron fertilization could be conducted—the
Galapagos islands area another potentially suitable location.
Dimethyl sulfide and clouds to illustrate his
Gaia hypothesis. During SOFeX, DMS concentrations increased by a factor of four inside the fertilized patch. Widescale iron fertilization of the Southern Ocean could lead to significant sulfur-triggered cooling in addition to that due to the uptake and that due to the ocean's albedo increase, however the amount of cooling by this particular effect is very uncertain. ==Financial opportunities==