Influences The source of Schumpeter's dynamic, change-oriented, and innovation-based economics was the
historical school of economics. Although his writings could be critical of that perspective, Schumpeter's work on the role of innovation and
entrepreneurship can be seen as a continuation of ideas originated by the historical school, especially the work of
Gustav von Schmoller and
Werner Sombart. Despite being born in Austria and having trained with many of the same economists, some argue he cannot be categorized with the
Austrian School of economics without major qualifications while others maintain the opposite. Schumpeter was also influenced by
Léon Walras and the
Lausanne School, calling Walras the "greatest of all economists". The Austrian sociologist
Rudolf Goldscheid's concept of fiscal sociology influenced Schumpeter's analysis of the tax state. A 2012 paper showed that Schumpeter's writings displayed the influence of
Francis Galton's work.
Evolutionary economics According to
Christopher Freeman (2009), "the central point of his whole life work [is]: that capitalism can only be understood as an evolutionary process of continuous innovation and '
creative destruction'".
History of Economic Analysis Schumpeter's scholarship is apparent in his posthumous
History of Economic Analysis, Schumpeter thought that the greatest 18th-century economist was
Turgot rather than
Adam Smith, and he considered
Léon Walras to be the "greatest of all economists", beside whom other economists' theories were "like inadequate attempts to catch some particular aspects of Walrasian truth". Schumpeter criticized
John Maynard Keynes and
David Ricardo for the "Ricardian vice". According to Schumpeter, both Ricardo and Keynes reasoned in terms of abstract models, where they would freeze all but a few variables. Then they could argue that one caused the other in a simple
monotonic fashion. This led to the belief that one could easily deduce policy conclusions directly from a highly abstract theoretical model. In this book, Joseph Schumpeter recognized the implication of a
gold monetary standard compared to a
fiat monetary standard. In
History of Economic Analysis, Schumpeter stated the following: "An 'automatic' gold currency is part and parcel of a
laissez-faire and
free-trade economy. It links every nation's money rates and price levels with the money rates and price levels of all the other nations that are 'on gold.' However, gold is extremely sensitive to government expenditure and even to attitudes or policies that do not involve expenditure directly, for example, in foreign policy, certain policies of taxation, and, in general, precisely all those policies that violate the principles of [classical] liberalism.
This is the reason why gold is so unpopular now and also why it was so popular in a
bourgeois era."
Business cycles Schumpeter's relationships with the ideas of other economists were quite complex in his most important contributions to economic analysis – the theory of
business cycles and development. Following neither Walras nor Keynes, Schumpeter starts in
The Theory of Economic Development with a treatise of
circular flow which, excluding any innovations and innovative activities, leads to a stationary state. The stationary state is, according to Schumpeter, described by
Walrasian equilibrium. The hero of his story is the entrepreneur. The entrepreneur disturbs this equilibrium and is the prime cause of economic development, which proceeds cyclically along with several time scales. In fashioning this theory connecting innovations, cycles, and development, Schumpeter kept alive the Russian
Nikolai Kondratiev's ideas on 50-year cycles,
Kondratiev waves. Schumpeter suggested a model in which the four main cycles,
Kondratiev (54 years),
Kuznets (18 years),
Juglar (9 years), and
Kitchin (about 4 years) can be added together to form a composite
waveform. A Kondratiev wave could consist of three lower-degree Kuznets waves. Each Kuznets wave could, itself, be made up of two Juglar waves. Similarly two (or three) Kitchin waves could form a higher degree Juglar wave. If each of these were in phase; more importantly, if the downward arc of each was simultaneous so that the
nadir of each was coincident, it would explain disastrous slumps and consequent depressions. As far as the segmentation of the Kondratiev Wave, Schumpeter never proposed such a fixed model. He saw these cycles varying in time – although in a tight time frame by coincidence – and for each to serve a specific purpose.
Keynesianism In Schumpeter's theory,
Walrasian equilibrium is not adequate to capture the key mechanisms of economic development. Schumpeter also thought that the institution enabling the entrepreneur to buy the resources needed to realize his vision was a well-developed
capitalist financial system, including a whole range of institutions for granting
credit. One could divide economists among (1) those who emphasized "real" analysis and regarded money as merely a "veil" and (2) those who thought monetary institutions were important and money could be a separate driving force. Both Schumpeter and Keynes were among the latter.
Demise of capitalism Schumpeter's most popular book in English is probably
Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. While he agrees with
Karl Marx that capitalism will collapse and be replaced by
socialism, Schumpeter predicts a different way this will come about. While Marx predicted that capitalism would be overthrown by a violent proletarian revolution, which occurred in the least capitalist countries, Schumpeter believed that capitalism would gradually weaken itself and eventually collapse. Specifically, the success of capitalism would lead to
corporatism and to values hostile to capitalism, especially among intellectuals. "Intellectuals" are a social class in a position to critique societal matters for which they are not directly responsible and to stand up for the interests of other classes. Intellectuals tend to have a negative outlook on capitalism, even while relying on it for prestige because their professions rely on antagonism toward it. The growing number of people with higher education is a great advantage of capitalism, according to Schumpeter. Yet,
unemployment and a lack of fulfilling work will lead to intellectual critique, discontent, and protests. Parliaments will increasingly elect
social democratic parties, and democratic majorities will vote for restrictions on entrepreneurship. Increasing
workers' self-management,
industrial democracy and regulatory institutions would evolve non-politically into "
liberal capitalism". Thus, the intellectual and social climate needed for thriving
entrepreneurship will be replaced by some form of "
laborism". This will exacerbate "
creative destruction" (a borrowed phrase to denote an
endogenous replacement of old ways of doing things by new ways), which will ultimately undermine and destroy the capitalist structure. Schumpeter emphasizes throughout this book that he is analyzing trends, not engaging in political
advocacy. William Fellner, in the book ''Schumpeter's Vision: Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy After 40 Years'', noted that Schumpeter saw any political system in which the power was fully monopolized as fascist.
Democratic theory In the same book, Schumpeter expounded on a theory of democracy that sought to challenge what he called the "classical doctrine". He disputed the idea that democracy was a process by which the electorate identified the common good, and politicians carried this out for them. He argued this was unrealistic, and that people's ignorance and superficiality meant that they were largely manipulated by politicians, who set the agenda. Furthermore, he claimed that even if the common good was possible to find, it would still not make clear the means needed to reach its end, since citizens do not have the requisite knowledge to design government policy. This made a 'rule by the people' concept both unlikely and undesirable. Instead, he advocated a minimalist model, much influenced by
Max Weber, whereby democracy is the mechanism for competition between leaders, much like a market structure. Although periodic votes by the general public legitimize governments and keep them accountable, the policy program is very much seen as their own and not that of the people, and the participatory role of individuals is usually severely limited. Schumpeter defined democracy as the method by which people elect representatives in competitive elections to carry out their will. This definition has been described as simple, elegant and parsimonious, making it clearer to distinguish political systems that either fulfill or fail these characteristics. This minimalist definition stands in contrast to broader definitions of democracy, which may emphasize aspects such as "representation, accountability, equality, participation, justice, dignity, rationality, security, freedom". For Schumpeter, the formation of a government is the endpoint of the democratic process, which means that for the purposes of his democratic theory, he has no comment on what kinds of decisions that the government can take to be a democracy. Schumpeter faced pushback on his theory from other democratic theorists, such as
Robert Dahl, who argued that there is more to democracy than simply the formation of government through competitive elections. Democracy is therefore in a sense a means to ensure circulation among elites.
Entrepreneurship The field of entrepreneurship theory owed much to Schumpeter's contributions. His fundamental theories are often referred to as Mark I and Mark II. In Mark I, Schumpeter argued that the innovation and technological change of a nation come from entrepreneurs or wild spirits. He coined the word
Unternehmergeist, German for "entrepreneur-spirit", and asserted that "... the doing of new things or the doing of things that are already being done in a new way" stemmed directly from the efforts of entrepreneurs. Schumpeter developed Mark II while a professor at
Harvard. Many social economists and popular authors of the day argued that large businesses had a negative effect on the standard of living of ordinary people. Contrary to this prevailing opinion, Schumpeter argued that the agents that drive innovation and the economy are large companies that have the capital to invest in
research and development of new products and services and to deliver them to customers more cheaply, thus raising their standard of living. In one of his seminal works,
Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy, Schumpeter wrote: Mark I and Mark II arguments are considered complementary. In Schumpeter's view, technological innovation is the cause of both cyclical instability and economic growth. Fluctuations in innovation cause fluctuations in investment and those cause cycles in economic growth. Schumpeter sees innovations as clustering around certain points in time that he refers to as "neighborhoods of equilibrium" when entrepreneurs perceive that risk and returns warrant innovative commitments. These clusters lead to long cycles by generating periods of acceleration in aggregate growth. The technological view of change needs to demonstrate that changes in the rate of innovation govern changes in the rate of new investments and that the combined impact of innovation clusters takes the form of fluctuation in aggregate output or employment. The process of technological innovation involves extremely complex relations among a set of key variables: inventions, innovations, diffusion paths, and investment activities. The impact of technological innovation on aggregate output is mediated through a succession of relationships that have yet to be explored systematically in the context of the long wave. New inventions are typically primitive, their performance is usually poorer than existing technologies and the cost of their production is high. A production technology may not yet exist, as is often the case in major chemical and pharmaceutical inventions. The speed with which inventions are transformed into innovations and diffused depends on the actual and expected trajectory of performance improvement and cost reduction.
Innovation Schumpeter identified innovation as the critical dimension of economic change. He argued that economic change revolves around innovation, entrepreneurial activities, and market power. He sought to prove that innovation-originated market power can provide better results than the invisible hand and price competition. He argued that technological innovation often creates temporary monopolies, allowing abnormal profits that would soon be competed away by rivals and imitators. These temporary monopolies were necessary to provide the incentive for firms to develop new products and processes.
Doing Business The
World Bank's "Doing Business" report was influenced by Schumpeter's focus on removing impediments to
creative destruction. The creation of the report is credited in part to his work. ==Personal life==