After the discovery of Pluto in 1930, many speculated that it might not be alone. The region now called the Kuiper belt was hypothesized in various forms for decades. It was only in 1992 that the first direct evidence for its existence was found. The number and variety of prior speculations on the nature of the Kuiper belt have led to continued uncertainty as to who deserves credit for first proposing it.
Hypotheses The first
astronomer to suggest the existence of a trans-Neptunian population was
Frederick C. Leonard. Soon after Pluto's discovery by
Clyde Tombaugh in 1930, Leonard pondered whether it was "likely that in Pluto there has come to light the
first of a
series of ultra-Neptunian bodies, the remaining members of which still await discovery but which are destined eventually to be detected". That same year, astronomer
Armin O. Leuschner suggested that Pluto "may be one of many long-period planetary objects yet to be discovered". , after whom the Kuiper belt is named. In 1943, in the
Journal of the British Astronomical Association,
Kenneth Edgeworth hypothesized that, in the region beyond
Neptune, the material within the
primordial solar nebula was too widely spaced to condense into planets, and so rather condensed into a myriad smaller bodies. From this he concluded that "the outer region of the solar system, beyond the orbits of the planets, is occupied by a very large number of comparatively small bodies" and that, from time to time, one of their number "wanders from its own sphere and appears as an occasional visitor to the inner solar system", Kuiper was operating on the assumption, common in his time, that
Pluto was far more massive than we now know it to be, and had therefore scattered these bodies out toward the
Oort cloud or out of the Solar System; there would not be a Kuiper belt today if this were correct. The hypothesis took many other forms in the following decades. In 1962, physicist
Alastair G. W. Cameron postulated the existence of "a tremendous mass of small material on the outskirts of the solar system". Observation ruled out this hypothesis. In 1992, another object,
5145 Pholus, was discovered in a similar orbit. Today, an entire population of comet-like bodies, called the
centaurs, is known to exist in the region between Jupiter and Neptune. The centaurs' orbits are unstable and have dynamical lifetimes of a few million years. From the time of Chiron's discovery in 1977, astronomers have speculated that the centaurs therefore must be frequently replenished by some outer reservoir. A proposal for such an area of replenishment is the
Oort cloud, possibly a spherical swarm of comets extending beyond 50,000 AU from the Sun first hypothesised by Dutch astronomer
Jan Oort in 1950. The Oort cloud is thought to be the point of origin of
long-period comets, which are those, like
Hale–Bopp, with orbits lasting thousands of years.There is another comet population, known as
short-period or
periodic comets, consisting of those comets that, like
Halley's Comet, have
orbital periods of less than 200 years. By the 1970s, the rate at which short-period comets were being discovered was becoming increasingly inconsistent with their having emerged solely from the Oort cloud. Following up on Fernández's work, in 1988 the Canadian team of Martin Duncan, Tom Quinn and
Scott Tremaine ran a number of computer simulations to determine if all observed comets could have arrived from the Oort cloud. They found that the Oort cloud could not account for all short-period comets, particularly as short-period comets are clustered near the plane of the Solar System, whereas Oort-cloud comets tend to arrive from any point in the sky. With a "belt", as Fernández described it, added to the formulations, the simulations matched observations. Reportedly because the words "Kuiper" and "comet belt" appeared in the opening sentence of Fernández's paper, Tremaine named this hypothetical region the "Kuiper belt". He encouraged then-graduate student
Jane Luu to aid him in his endeavour to locate another object beyond
Pluto's orbit, because, as he told her, "If we don't, nobody will." By 2018, over 2000 Kuiper belt objects had been discovered. Over one thousand bodies were found in a belt in the twenty years (1992–2012), after finding (named in 2018, 15760 Albion), showing a vast belt of bodies in addition to Pluto and Albion. Even in the 2010s the full extent and nature of Kuiper belt bodies was largely unknown. Studies conducted since the trans-Neptunian region was first charted have shown that the region now called the Kuiper belt is not the point of origin of short-period comets, but that they instead derive from a linked population called the
scattered disc. The scattered disc was created when Neptune
migrated outward into the proto-Kuiper belt, which at the time was much closer to the Sun, and left in its wake a population of dynamically stable objects that could never be affected by its orbit (the Kuiper belt proper), and a population whose
perihelia are close enough that Neptune can still disturb them as it travels around the Sun (the scattered disc). Because the scattered disc is dynamically active and the Kuiper belt relatively dynamically stable, the scattered disc is now seen as the most likely point of origin for periodic comets. The term "
trans-Neptunian object" (TNO) is recommended for objects in the belt by several scientific groups because the term is less controversial than all others—it is not an exact
synonym, though, as TNOs include all objects orbiting the Sun past the orbit of
Neptune, not just those in the Kuiper belt. == Structure ==