1991 proposal An M4 relief road between Magor and Castleton was first proposed by the
Welsh Office in 1991, but there was little progress on the scheme in the following years. Plans for the New M4 were announced on 3 March 2006 as part of a raft of measures to improve road transport in Wales. The road would have cost between
£350 million (later rising by £660m to an estimated £1 billion), It was planned to be the United Kingdom's second full toll-paying motorway, after the M6 Toll. Proposals in 2004 for the road to be tolled were met with scepticism. Several experts suggested that a new toll road would be "a white elephant for 20 hours a day", due to the greatly variable traffic levels through the Brynglas Tunnels. Outside peak hours, the tunnels would still have been the preferable option to taking a toll road for most people. In November 2009, Dr. Anthony Beresford of the Business School at
Cardiff University called for the decision to cancel the road to be overturned.
2011 proposal at
Newport Docks, close to where the new road would cross the river. The distant building with the tall chimney is
Uskmouth Power Station. In December 2011, the
Welsh Government entered into discussions with the incoming UK
Chancellor of the Exchequer,
George Osborne to discuss financial assistance for the road project. In February 2012 related work started on a dual-carriageway road connecting Newport's southern distributor road to junction 23A of the M4 using part of the proposed route of the M4 relief road and a former access road to the
Llanwern steelworks. A public consultation exercise on options for improving the capacity of the M4 corridor around Newport opened on 5 March 2012. The review was published in August 2014, and a multiple potential routes were presented. However opponents of the road criticised the report for excluding the effects of any potential growth in traffic. The report assumed the new road would see no growth in vehicle use, a finding which is contrary to
induced demand studies which show road expansion leads to significant increases in vehicle use. Osborne also denied any plans for tolling. A consultation on the proposed plan ran from 23 September to 16 December 2013. In April 2013, the
Conservative coalition formalised an agreement with the Welsh Government for a £830m interest-payable loan for the construction of the road at 2011 costs. In 2017, following a manifesto pledge by
Theresa May at the
2017 General Election,
Highways England removed road tolls on the Severn Bridges. This decision was assessed as causing an increase in traffic of 20% over the M4 bridge and 7% of traffic at the tunnels, increasing the already considerable congestion in Newport throughout 2018 and 2019. Welsh Government Director of Economic Infrastructure Simon Jones told the Assembly Economy Committee in early 2018 that the road would cost more than the £1.4bn first estimated due to additional VAT payments which would need to be paid by the Welsh Government. It stated that Government agencies need to update assumptions on impact.
First Minister of Wales Carwyn Jones (a supporter of the road) stepped down in 2018,
2020 Internal Market Bill In September 2020 there was widespread discussion about the impact of the United Kingdom Internal Market Bill, put forward to transfer powers previously held by the European Union, which would take effect in 2021 after the Transition Period. The bill drew the criticism of some, including the Welsh Government, who argued that it would allow the Westminster Government to push forward with the M4 Relief Road despite Welsh Government opposition. The bill would, for the first time since devolution, allow the use of "parliamentary funds to assist with 'promoting economic development' or 'providing infrastructure'" in the devolved nations. However the BBC reported that while the bill would enable the Government to "finance" such projects, it would not resolve the issue of obtaining planning permission and other hurdles to constructing the road, many of which remain devolved to Welsh Government and the Welsh Local Authorities. ==Plan==