Coastal route crossing By some 50–70,000 years ago, a subset of the bearers of mitochondrial haplogroup
L3 migrated from
East Africa into the
Near East. It has been estimated that from a population of 2,000 to 5,000 individuals in Africa, only a small group, possibly as few as 150 to 1,000 people, crossed the Red Sea. The group that crossed the Red Sea travelled along the coastal route around
Arabia and the
Persian Plateau to India, which appears to have been the first major settling point. argued for the route along the southern coastline of Asia, across about , reaching Australia by around 50,000 years ago. Today at the
Bab-el-Mandeb straits, the
Red Sea is about wide, but 50,000 years ago sea levels were lower (owing to glaciation) and the water channel was much narrower. Though the straits were never completely closed, they were narrow enough to have enabled crossing using simple rafts, and there may have been islands in between. Shell
middens 125,000 years old have been found in
Eritrea, indicating that the diet of early humans included seafood obtained by
beachcombing.
Toba eruption The dating of the Southern Dispersal is a matter of dispute. It may have happened either pre- or post-Toba, a catastrophic volcanic eruption that took place between 69,000 and 77,000 years ago at the site of present-day
Lake Toba in Sumatra, Indonesia. Stone tools discovered below the layers of ash deposited in India may point to a pre-Toba dispersal but the source of the tools is disputed. An indication for post-Toba is haplo-group L3, that originated before the dispersal of humans out of Africa and can be dated to 60,000–70,000 years ago, "suggesting that humanity left Africa a few thousand years after Toba". Some research showing slower than expected genetic mutations in human DNA was published in 2012, indicating a revised dating for the migration to between 90,000 and 130,000 years ago. Some more recent research suggests a migration out-of-Africa of around 50,000-75,000 years ago of the ancestors of modern non-African populations, similar to most previous estimates.
West Asia Following the fossils dating 80,000 to 120,000 years ago from
Qafzeh and
Es-Skhul Caves in Israel there are no
H. sapiens fossils in the
Levant until the
Manot 1 fossil from
Manot Cave in Israel, dated to 54,700 years ago, though the dating was questioned by . The lack of fossils and stone tool industries that can be safely associated with modern humans in the Levant has been taken to suggest that modern humans were outcompeted by Neanderthals until around 55,000 years ago, who would have placed a barrier on modern human dispersal out of Africa through the Northern Route. Climate reconstructions also support a Southern Route dispersal of modern humans as the
Bab-el-Mandeb strait experienced a climate more conductive to human migration than the northern landbridge to the Levant during the major human dispersal out of Africa. A 2023 study proposed that Eurasians and Africans genetically diverged ~100,000 years ago. Many Eurasians then lived in the Saudi Peninsula, genetically isolated from at least 85 kya, before expanding north 54 kya. For reference, Homo sapiens and Neanderthals diverged ~500 kya.
Oceania Fossils from
Lake Mungo, Australia, have been dated to about 42,000 years ago. Archaeological features from a site called
Madjedbebe have been dated to at least 65,000 years ago, though some researchers doubt this early estimate and date the Madjedbebe deposits at about 50,000 years ago at the oldest. next to additional archaic admixture in the
Sahul region. According to one study, Papuans could have either formed from a mixture between an East Eurasian lineage and lineage basal to West and East Asians, or as a sister lineage of East Asians with or without a minor basal OoA or xOoA contribution. A Holocene hunter-gatherer sample (Leang_Panninge) from
South Sulawesi was found to be genetically in between East-Eurasians and Australo-Papuans. The sample could be modeled as ~50% Papuan-related and ~50% Basal-East Asian-related (Andamanese Onge or Tianyuan). The authors concluded that Basal-East Asian ancestry was far more widespread and the peopling of Insular Southeast Asia and Oceania was more complex than previously anticipated.
East and Southeast Asia In China, the
Liujiang man () is among the earliest modern humans found in
East Asia. The date most commonly attributed to the remains is 67,000 years ago. High rates of variability yielded by various dating techniques carried out by different researchers place the most widely accepted range of dates with 67,000 BP as a minimum, but do not rule out dates as old as 159,000 BP.
Tianyuan man from China has a probable date range between 38,000 and 42,000 years ago, while
Liujiang man from the same region has a probable date range between 67,000 and 159,000 years ago. According to 2013 DNA tests, Tianyuan man is related "to many present-day
Asians and
Native Americans". Tianyuan is similar in
morphology to Liujiang man, and some
Jōmon period modern humans found in Japan, as well as modern East and Southeast Asians. A 2021 study about the population history of Eastern Eurasia, concluded that distinctive
Basal-East Asian (East-Eurasian) ancestry originated in
Mainland Southeast Asia at ~50,000BC from a distinct southern Himalayan route, and expanded through multiple migration waves southwards and northwards respectively.
Americas Genetic studies concluded that
Native Americans descended from a single founding population that initially split from a Basal-East Asian source population in Mainland Southeast Asia around 36,000 years ago, at the same time at which the proper
Jōmon people split from Basal-East Asians, either together with Ancestral Native Americans or during a separate expansion wave. They also show that the basal northern and southern Native American branches, to which all other Indigenous peoples belong, diverged around 16,000 years ago. An indigenous American sample from 16,000BC in
Idaho, which is craniometrically similar to modern Native Americans as well as
Paleosiberians, was found to have largely East-Eurasian ancestry and showed high affinity with contemporary East Asians, as well as Jōmon period samples of Japan, confirming that Ancestral Native Americans split from an East-Eurasian source population in Eastern Siberia.
Europe According to , an early offshoot from the southern dispersal with haplogroup N followed the Nile from East Africa, heading northwards and crossing into Asia through the
Sinai. This group then branched, some moving into Europe and others heading east into Asia. This hypothesis is supported by the relatively late date of the arrival of modern humans in Europe as well as by archaeological and DNA evidence. Based on an analysis of 55 human mitochondrial genomes (mtDNAs) of hunter-gatherers, argue for a "rapid single dispersal of all non-Africans less than 55,000 years ago". By 45,000 years ago, modern humans are known to have reached northwestern Europe. == Genetic reconstruction ==