War Cabinet discussions On 1 January
Secretary of State for War Edward Stanley, 17th Earl of Derby told Haig that he saved
William Robertson from the sack by threatening resignation. He also hinted to Haig that the
government wanted the removal of
Launcelot Kiggell ("a tired man") as BEF Chief of Staff, and that General
Richard Butler, Haig's preferred choice, was not acceptable. Haig had an interview with
the King (2 January) to pick up his Field Marshal's
baton. Haig appears to have been placing too much faith in recent German peace feelers, now known not have been seriously intended. He told the King that British soldiers (who, in a large
conscript army, now included men from "all classes in the nation") needed to be told what they were fighting for. In Haig's view, Britain should keep to her original war aims, the defence of
France and liberation of Belgium; he felt "democratising of Germany", about to be publicly reiterated by
David Lloyd George as a British aspiration, was likely to destabilise Germany, as the
fall of the Tsar in March 1917 had destabilised
Russia, and was not "worth the loss of an Englishman". Haig attended a meeting of the
War cabinet (7 January). He claimed to have recommended that the British should keep the initiative and draw in German reserves (to prevent a German attack on the French) by renewing the offensive around Ypres, and that this proposal did not meet with political approval. In fact the logistical infrastructure was not available for a breakout from the
Ypres Salient, and there is no mention of his suggestion in the official minutes. The minutes do agree with Haig's account that he warned only of limited German offensives. After the meeting Robertson, who had also been present and who had been concerned that Haig had not got his point across, insisted that Haig submit a paper warning of the danger of a
major German offensive. Over lunch (9 January) at
10 Downing Street with Lord Derby and Lloyd George, Haig predicted that the war would end within a year because of the "internal state of Germany" (a broadly accurate prediction).
John Charteris' final intelligence report had deduced that Germany was bringing 32
divisions, ten per month, from the moribund
Eastern Front, so the most likely time for a German Offensive was in late March (again, a correct prediction). Haig again left the politicians with the impression that he thought the Germans would launch small attacks on the scale of
Cambrai.
Manpower As far back as 18 April 1917 Lloyd George had caused
Maurice Hankey to draw up a memo recommending keeping "the
War Office short (of men) to compel the soldiers to adopt tactics that will reduce the waste of manpower ... (and force the generals to make) careful substitution of elderly and partially fit men and coloured men ... behind the lines". A manpower committee under Lloyd George's chairmanship had given the
Royal Navy,
Royal Flying Corps shipbuilding, food production and timber felling all higher priority than the Army. The War Cabinet allocated (9 January) 100,000 Category A men to the Western Front rather than the 615,000 demanded by the Army. Lloyd George discounted the Army's warnings and wrongly thought the Western Front secure. Between January and March the BEF received 174,379 men, including 32,384
Dominion troops and 7,359 non-combatants. Many of the troops were Category B, i.e. not fully fit for combat, but the extra manpower enabled fitter men to be "combed out" from non-combatant jobs behind the lines. Although there were about 1.5m soldiers under Home Forces Command in the UK at any one time, nearly a third of these were sick or wounded and another third engaged on legitimate work for various branches of the Army. Only around a third were potentially available for service on the Western Front, the majority of these being in training or under nineteen. Eighteen-year-olds had to be sent to France after the German Spring Offensives in 1918. Haig remonstrated in vain with Derby (10 January) about the promotion of his ally Lt-Gen
Hugh Trenchard from command of the RFC (replaced by Maj-Gen
John Salmond) to become
Chief of Air Staff. On 14 January Haig wrote to his wife,
apropos the loss of Trenchard, that Derby was "like the feather pillow, bear(ing) the mark of the last person who sat on him" and remarking that he was known in London as the "genial Judas". The War Office ordered (10 January) a reduction in the size of British divisions from 12 infantry
battalions to 9 and a reduction in BEF cavalry strength from 5 divisions to 3. Haig had used the need to send British troops to
Italy after
Caporetto as an excuse not to take over a section of French line, as had been agreed between the British and French governments in early October, but in January the
Supreme War Council at
Versailles recommended (SWC Joint Note 12 and Note 14) an extension of the British line to some point between the river
Ailette and the
Laon-
Soissons road. Haig complained to his diary (14 January) that the British government were taking the advice of
Henry Wilson and the "Versailles gentlemen (who have no responsibility)" but in practice he was being overruled. There is no evidence that he considered resignation. The purge of Haig's staff continued, with the appointment on 22 January of Herbert Lawrence as BEF Chief of Staff, in place of Lt-Gen
Launcelot Kiggell. Lawrence was a much stronger character than Kiggell, and having made money in business and having no plans to stay in the Army after the War, was not beholden to Haig – actually in time the two men made a good team. Haig also lost the Deputy Chief of General Staff, Roland Maxwell (
Quartermaster general), the engineer in chief and the director-general of medical services. Even
John Terraine admits the changes strengthened the BEF. The Cabinet Minister
Jan Smuts and the
Cabinet Secretary Maurice Hankey, whom Lloyd George had contemplated appointing to Kiggell's job, were sent on a five-day mission to France coinciding with the Lovat Fraser article. On the first evening they met Haig at GHQ and assured him that Lloyd George had no wish to replace him, although they had in fact been tasked by the Prime Minister on 18 January "to find out who are the rising men" amongst the British generals. Hankey wrote that "the atmosphere of complaisant optimism that formerly pervaded GHQ" was now "conspicuous by its absence", that general opinion was that the
American Expeditionary Forces would not be ready for a major offensive before 1920, and that there was open talk, in which Haig participated, of a compromise peace, Haig being worried about the danger of France or
Italy collapsing and believing that Britain had already gained more from the war than other powers and risked being left exhausted compared to the US. Hankey also recorded that officers had been angered by the Lovat Fraser article. Over the next few days Hankey and Smuts took discreet soundings among the Army Commanders to see whether any of them were willing to replace Haig – none of them were. The only possibility seemed to be
Claud Jacob, General Officer Commanding (GOC)
II Corps. Hankey formed the opinion that nobody important amongst the British generals thought a major German attack likely. The Unionist War Committee (a committee of Conservative backbenchers) passed a resolution on 24 January in support of Haig and Robertson and demanding that the Prime Minister condemn Northcliffe's press campaign against Haig.
Charles à Court Repington, now writing for
The Morning Post and in a bizarre reversal of allegiances now effectively an ally of the generals – and using information clearly leaked by the War Office – attacked the government over manpower (24 January), complaining that the BEF was only to be given 100,000 Category "A" men.
H. H. Asquith (
Liberal Leader and
Leader of the Opposition), then in France to visit his badly wounded son
Arthur, visited Haig (26 January) and assured him that Northcliffe's campaign had backfired, although attacks against Robertson might continue.
General Reserve At the
Supreme War Council at the Trianon Palace Hotel, near Versailles (29 January – 2 February) Haig and
Philippe Pétain (French Commander-in-Chief) complained of shortage of troops. The BEF was facing a 100,000 manpower shortage by June 1918, whilst Pétain talked of losing 25 divisions to natural wastage, but Haig's political credibility was so low that Hankey wrote that they "made asses of themselves". Haig argued against a common command, claiming that it would be "unconstitutional" for him to take orders from a foreign general. It was agreed that an Allied General Reserve be set up, under
Ferdinand Foch with
Henry Wilson as his deputy, but Haig argued that he did not have divisions to spare for this (worrying that they would be shipped off to fight the
Turks but thinking the proposal would take time to become operational) and suggested to the
French Prime Minister Georges Clemenceau (who was suspicious of Foch's ambition to become generalissimo, and whom Haig thought "the soundest and pluckiest of the lot ... a grand old man, full of go and determination") that he might resign.
Lord Milner thought Haig's stance "desperately stupid", although in Sheffield's view Haig had a point that control of reserves by a committee was not necessarily sensible. Clemenceau attacked Lloyd George's wish to make offensives against Turkey top priority, and got Lloyd George to agree to delay offensives against the Turks for two months. Robertson openly opposed the Prime Minister; Haig did not speak in his defence, later writing that "LG never asked my opinion". On the last day the conference discussed the General Reserve and extension of line. Again, Haig did not openly oppose the government's plans, nor did he – at this stage – threaten to resign. By 4 February the BEF front had increased from 95 miles to 123 miles, an increase of almost 30%. Whereas
Fourth Army (as
Second Army, under
Henry Rawlinson's command, was currently numbered) had 14 divisions holding 23 miles,
First Army 16 divisions holding 33 miles and
Third Army 16 divisions holding 28 miles,
Fifth Army had only 14 divisions holding 42 miles. Lloyd George later claimed that Haig left his Fifth Army flank weak out of pique, a claim given some credence by Elizabeth Greenhalgh.
Fall of Robertson Lloyd George now prepared for a showdown with
Robertson, who was still unhappy over the handing over of British divisions to General Reserve. He proposed that the
CIGS be reduced to his pre-1915 powers (i.e. reporting to the
Secretary of State for War, not direct to the Cabinet) and that the British military representative at the Supreme War Council in Versailles be Deputy CIGS and a member of the
Army Council (i.e. empowered to issue orders to Haig). He offered Robertson a choice of remaining as CIGS with reduced powers or else accepting demotion to Deputy CIGS at Versailles – either way, Lloyd George would now have been able to cut him out of the decision-making loop. Letters from Derby (early February) make clear that he expected Haig to back him and Robertson. Derby summoned Haig back to London on Saturday 9 February, meeting him at
Victoria Station. As they drove to Downing Street ("by a circuitous route") together, Derby told him that the War Cabinet had already decided to sack Robertson. In a private meeting with Lloyd George, Haig agreed in principle with Robertson's position that the CIGS should himself be the delegate to Versailles, or else that the Versailles delegate be clearly subordinate to the CIGS to preserve unity of command, but he accepted that the War Cabinet must ultimately make the decision. Haig then told Lloyd George that he was "prepared to work with" the General Reserve scheme. Haig met Robertson on the morning of Monday 11 February, telling him to accept the post of Deputy CIGS in Versailles, and displaying no sympathy for Robertson's reluctance to hand over his job to Henry Wilson, whom Robertson disliked. He then had a meeting with the King, and asked him to urge Robertson to accept the Versailles job. Haig wrote in his diary that it was Robertson's "duty" to go to Versailles if the government so desired. Haig then returned to France (13–15 February) to inspect
Fifth Army, which was taking over a section of French line. On the morning of Saturday 16 February he met with the French Minister of Munitions, and attended a British Army Commanders' conference at which the apparent imminence of a major German attack in the Third or Fifth Army sectors (but probably not Flanders at this stage, as the ground was still wet there) was discussed. It was still thought that this might be the prelude to greater German attack in
Champagne, a view apparently shared by French intelligence. Later that day he travelled back to England by
destroyer and special train. At home at Kingston Hill on Sunday 17 February he was visited (separately) by Robertson and Derby, then was driven by Derby to visit Lloyd George at
Walton Heath. The Prime Minister told him that the War Cabinet thought Robertson's refusal to agree tantamount to resignation. According to Lloyd George, Haig "put up no fight for Robertson" and regarded Derby's threat of resignation with "an expression of contempt". That afternoon, at Lloyd George's request, Wilson visited Haig. He agreed to Haig's request that
Herbert Plumer, who had just declined the job of CIGS, be restored to command of Second Army at Ypres (he had been away commanding British troops in Italy) and that
Rawlinson (who had been in command at the Ypres Salient) replace Wilson as British Permanent Military Representative at Versailles. That evening Derby visited Haig, who urged him not to resign. On Monday 18 February Haig met
Bonar Law, who was about to announce Robertson's "resignation" and who wanted to confirm whether or not it was true that Haig supported the General Reserve scheme, as Lloyd George claimed – Haig was in fact ready to "work with" it, but threatened to resign if forced to hand over divisions. Haig congratulated himself (19 February) at having defused a major crisis in civil-military relations by deferring to civilian authority. Haig noted (diary 25 February) that as CIGS Wilson was no longer keen on diverting efforts to other fronts, nor on Rawlinson building up a strong staff at Versailles. Haig's callousness towards Robertson and Derby, his equals, has been compared unfavourably to the care with which he tried to protect the interests of his subordinates Charteris and Kiggell. == German Michael Offensive ==