Neoconservatism As a key
Reagan Administration contributor to the formulation of the
Reagan Doctrine, Fukuyama is an important figure in the rise of
neoconservatism, although his works came out years after
Irving Kristol's 1972 book crystallized neoconservatism. Fukuyama was active in the
Project for the New American Century think tank starting in 1997, and as a member co-signed the organization's 1998
letter recommending that President
Bill Clinton support Iraqi insurgencies in the overthrow of then-President of
Iraq Saddam Hussein. He was also among forty co-signers of
William Kristol's September 20, 2001 letter to President
George W. Bush after the
September 11, 2001 attacks that suggested the U.S. not only "capture or kill
Osama bin Laden", but also embark upon "a determined effort to remove Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq." As a supporter of the
Iraq War, Fukuyama defended the war against critics who accused the US of
unilateralism and violating international law, saying "Americans are right to insist that there is no such thing as an '
international community' in the abstract, and that nation-states must ultimately look out for themselves when it comes to critical matters of security." In a
New York Times article from February 2006, Fukuyama, in considering the ongoing Iraq War, stated: "What American foreign policy needs is not a return to a narrow and cynical realism, but rather the formulation of a 'realistic Wilsonianism' that better matches means to ends." In regard to neoconservatism, he went on to say: "What is needed now are new ideas, neither neoconservative nor realist, for how America is to relate to the rest of the world – ideas that retain the neoconservative belief in the universality of human rights, but without its illusions about the efficacy of American power and hegemony to bring these ends about." and called for
Donald Rumsfeld's resignation as
Secretary of Defense. At an annual dinner of the
American Enterprise Institute in February 2004,
Dick Cheney and
Charles Krauthammer declared the beginning of a
unipolar era under American
hegemony. "All of these people around me were cheering wildly," Fukuyama remembers. He believes that the Iraq War was being blundered. "All of my friends had taken leave of reality." and that the Bush administration had made three mistakes: • Overstating the threat of
Islamist extremism to the US. • Failing to foresee the fierce negative reaction to its "benevolent hegemony". From the very beginning showing a negative attitude toward the United Nations and other
intergovernmental organizations and not seeing that it would increase
anti-Americanism in other countries. • Misjudging what was needed to bring peace in
Iraq and being overly optimistic about the success with which
social engineering of western values could be applied to Iraq and the Middle East in general. Fukuyama believes the US has a right to promote its own values in the world, along the lines of what he calls "
realistic Wilsonianism", which he contrasts with
neoconservatism and "cynical
realism." In 2007 Fukuyama criticized the American government's attitude to Iran, "If the only thing we're putting on the table is that we'll talk to you, it isn't going to work. What the Iranians have really wanted over a long period of time is the grand bargain." In 2009 he described Iran as "not quite a tyranny, petty or grand" but also not a liberal democracy and added that "Iran could evolve towards a genuine rule-of-law democracy within the broad parameters of the
1979 constitution." In a 2018 interview with
New Statesman, when asked about his views on the resurgence of
socialist politics in the United States and the United Kingdom, he responded: In a review for
The Washington Post, Fukuyama discussed
Ezra Klein's 2020 book ''
Why We're Polarized'' regarding
US politics, and outlined Klein's central conclusion about the importance of race and
white identity to
Donald Trump voters and Republicans. In 2020, Fukuyama became the chair of the editorial board for
American Purpose, a magazine established in 2020 to promote three central ideas. Firstly, it wants to promote
liberal democracy in the United States. Secondly, it seeks to understand and opine on the challenges to liberal democracy in other countries. Thirdly, it wants to "offer criticism and commentary on history and biography, high art and pop culture, science and technology." Fukuyama has also perceived
Joe Biden's victory in the
2020 presidential election as the result of the Western system's ability to correct mistakes.
Views following Russian invasion of Ukraine A few weeks after the beginning of
Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Fukuyama made several prognoses in the magazine
American Purpose: • Russia was heading towards defeat, with its planning being incompetent and based on flawed assumptions about Ukrainians being favorable to Russia and about the Ukrainian military suffering immediate collapse in an invasion scenario. "Russian soldiers were evidently carrying dress uniforms for their victory parade in Kyiv rather than extra ammo and rations." The bulk of Russia's military had been committed to the invasion and so there were no vast reserves available to it. • Russia's position could collapse suddenly and catastrophically rather than through a slow
war of attrition. Its army would reach a point where it could be neither resupplied nor withdrawn, and morale would collapse accordingly. • A Russian defeat was a prerequisite for any diplomatic solution to the war as otherwise both Russia and Ukraine's
losses meant that there was no conceivable compromise which they could both accept. •
Vladimir Putin's rule over Russia would not survive a military defeat. "He gets support because he is perceived to be a strongman; what does he have to offer once he demonstrates incompetence and is stripped of his coercive power?" • The invasion had done huge damage to populists such as
Matteo Salvini,
Jair Bolsonaro,
Éric Zemmour,
Marine Le Pen,
Viktor Orbán, and
Donald Trump; all had expressed sympathy for Putin before the war, and their "openly authoritarian" leanings had been exposed by the war's politics. • The war thus far had been a "good lesson" for China whose military, like Russia's, was technologically sophisticated but had minimal combat experience. The
People's Liberation Army Air Force's lack of experience in relation to complex air operations meant that in a future conflict it would likely replicate the poor performance of Russia's air force. "We may hope that the Chinese leadership will not delude itself as to its own capabilities the way the Russians did when contemplating a future move against Taiwan"; as for Taiwan itself, Fukuyama expressed his hope that it would now begin to prepare for a future conflict including by reintroducing conscription. • "
Turkish drones will become bestsellers." • A Russian defeat would permit a "new birth of freedom" and assuage fears about the declining state of global democracy. The spirit of
1989 would live on thanks to Ukraine's bravery. Fukuyama has also put emphasis on the importance of national identity for a sound defense of liberal valuesand thus the need to reconcile the nation-state with liberal universalism, even if they seem at odds at firstin a
Foreign Affairs article: Liberalism, with its universalist pretensions, may sit uneasily alongside seemingly parochial nationalism, but the two can be reconciled. The goals of liberalism are entirely compatible with a world divided into nation-states. ... Liberal rights are meaningless if they cannot be enforced by a state. ... The territorial jurisdiction of a state necessarily corresponds to the area occupied by the group of individuals who signed on to the social contract. People living outside that jurisdiction must have their rights respected, but not necessarily enforced, by that state. ... The need for international cooperation in addressing issues such as global warming and pandemics has never been more evident. But it remains the case that one particular form of power, the ability to enforce rules through the threat or the actual use of force, remains under the control of nation-states. . . Ultimate power, in other words, continues to be the province of nation-states, which means that the control of power at this level remains critical. ... There is thus no necessary contradiction between liberal universalism and the need for nation-states. Although the normative value of human rights may be universal, enforcement power is not; it is a scarce resource that is necessarily applied in a territorially delimited way. In a 2022 interview with
El País, Fukuyama expressed support for
social democratic policies: "In Germany, the Netherlands, Scandinavia, you've had social democratic parties in power for a long time. [They've] done a lot of redistribution – you don't get this kind of polarized politics and you have an alternation between the center-left and center-right, which I think is much healthier." However, Fukuyama also said that he "was never opposed to social democracy. I think that it really depends on the historical period and the degree of state intervention. By the 1960s, many social democratic societies had become mired in low growth [and] high inflation. At that point, I think it was important to roll some of that back. That is, in fact, what happened in
Scandinavia. Most of those countries reduced tax rates, reduced levels of regulation and therefore became more productive. But I think that in the current period, we need more social democracy, especially in the United States." On June 29, 2023, at an event hosted by
Stanford University, Fukuyama met with the delegation from the
Azov Brigade, posing for a picture with them and expressing his support "to Ukraine on [their] sure way to victory." ==Affiliations==