Democratic Party Candidate Withdrawn candidates Before the primaries Media speculation had begun almost immediately after the results of the
2004 presidential election were released. In the
2006 midterm elections, the Democrats regained majorities in both houses of the
U.S. Congress. Early polls taken before anyone had announced a candidacy had shown Senators
Hillary Clinton and
Barack Obama as the most popular potential Democratic candidates. Nevertheless, the media speculated on several other candidates, including
Al Gore, the runner-up in the
2000 election;
John Kerry, the runner-up in the
2004 election;
John Edwards, Kerry's
running mate in 2004; Delaware Senator
Joe Biden; New Mexico Governor
Bill Richardson; Iowa Governor
Tom Vilsack; and Indiana Senator
Evan Bayh. Edwards was one of the first to formally announce his candidacy for the presidency, on December 28, 2006. This run would be his second attempt at the presidency. Clinton announced intentions to run in the Democratic primaries on January 20, 2007. Obama announced his candidacy on February 10 in his home state of Illinois.
Early primaries and caucuses Early in the year, the support for Barack Obama started to increase in the polls and he passed Clinton for the top spot in Iowa; he ended up winning the caucus in that state, with Edwards coming in second and Clinton in third. Obama's win was fueled mostly by first time caucus-goers and
Independents and showed voters viewed him as the "candidate of change". After the Iowa caucus, Biden and Connecticut Senator
Chris Dodd withdrew from the nomination contest. In what is considered a turning point for her campaign, Clinton had a strong performance at the
Saint Anselm College,
ABC, and
Facebook debates several days before the
New Hampshire primary as well as an emotional interview in a public broadcast live on TV. Clinton won that primary by 2% of the vote, contrary to the predictions of pollsters who consistently had her trailing Obama for a few days up to the primary date. Clinton's win was the first time a woman had ever won a major American party's presidential primary for the purposes of delegate selection. On January 30, 2008, after placing in third in the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries, Edwards announced that he was suspending his campaign for the presidency, but he did not initially endorse any remaining candidates.
Super Tuesday Super Tuesday was February 5, 2008, when the largest-ever number of simultaneous state
primary elections was held. Super Tuesday ended up leaving the Democrats in a virtual tie, with Obama amassing 847 delegates to Clinton's 834 from the 23 states that held Democratic primaries.
California was one of the Super Tuesday states that could provide a large number of delegates to the candidates. Obama trailed in the California polling by an average of 6.0% before the primary; he ended up losing that state by 8.3% of the vote. Some analysts cited a large
Latino turnout that voted for Clinton as the deciding factor. The
Louisiana,
Nebraska,
Hawaii,
Wisconsin,
U.S. Virgin Islands, the District of Columbia, Maryland, and Virginia primaries and the
Washington and Maine caucuses all took place after Super Tuesday in February. Obama won all of them, giving him 10 consecutive victories after Super Tuesday.
Ohio, Texas, and Pennsylvania On March 4, Hillary Clinton carried
Ohio and
Rhode Island in the Democratic primaries; some considered these wins, especially Ohio, a "surprise upset" by 10%, although she did lead in the polling averages in both states. She also carried the
primary in Texas, but Obama won the Texas caucuses held the same day and netted more delegates from the state than Clinton. Only one state held a primary in April. This was
Pennsylvania, on April 22. Although Obama made a strong effort to win Pennsylvania, Hillary Clinton won that primary by nearly 10%, with approximately 55% of the vote. Obama had outspent Clinton three to one in Pennsylvania, but his comment at a San Francisco fundraiser that small-town Americans "cling" to guns and religion drew sharp criticism from the Clinton campaign and may have hurt his chances in the Keystone State. In addition, Clinton had several advantages in Pennsylvania. Throughout the primary process, she relied on the support of older, white, working class voters. Pennsylvania held a closed primary, which means that only registered Democrats could vote, and, according to Ron Elving of
NPR, the established Democratic electorate "was older, whiter, more Catholic and more working-class than in most of the primaries to date." After Pennsylvania, Obama had a higher number of delegates and popular votes than Clinton did and was still in a stronger position to win the nomination. Clinton, however, had received the endorsement of more superdelegates than Obama. In the actual results, Obama outperformed the polls by several points in both states, winning by a significant margin in North Carolina and losing by only 1.1% in Indiana (50.56% to 49.44%). After these primaries, most pundits declared that it had become "increasingly improbable," if not impossible, for Clinton to win the nomination. The small win in Indiana barely kept her campaign alive for the next month. Although she did manage to win the majority of the remaining primaries and delegates, it was not enough to overcome Obama's substantial delegate lead.
Florida and Michigan During late 2007, the two parties adopted rules against states' moving their primaries to an earlier date in the year. For the Republicans, the penalty for this violation was supposed to be the loss of half the state party's delegates to the convention. The Democratic penalty was the complete exclusion from the national convention of delegates from states that broke these rules. The Democratic Party allowed only four states to hold elections before February 5, 2008. Clinton won a majority of delegates and popular votes from both states (though 40% voted uncommitted in Michigan) and subsequently led a fight to seat all the Florida and Michigan delegates. There was some speculation that the fight over the delegates could last until the convention in August. On May 31, 2008, the Rules and Bylaws Committee of the Democratic Party reached a compromise on the Florida and Michigan delegate situation. The committee decided to seat delegates from Michigan and Florida at the convention in August, but to only award each a half-vote.
Clinching the nomination The major political party nomination process (technically) continues through June of an election year. In previous cycles, the candidates were effectively chosen by the end of the primaries held in March, but, in this cycle, Barack Obama did not win enough delegates to secure the nomination until June 3, after a 17-month campaign against Hillary Clinton. He had a wide lead in states won, while Clinton had won majorities in several of the larger states. Now, because a form of
proportional representation and popular vote decided Democratic state delegate contests, numbers were close between Clinton and Obama. By May, Clinton claimed to hold a lead in the popular vote, but the
Associated Press found that her numbers were "accurate only" in one close scenario. In June, after the last of the primaries had taken place, Obama secured the Democratic nomination for president, with the help of multiple super delegate endorsements (most of the super delegates had refused to declare their support for either candidate until the primaries were completed). He was the first African American to win the nomination of a major political party in the United States. For several days, Clinton refused to concede the race, although she signaled her presidential campaign was ending in a post-primary speech on June 3 in her home state of New York. She finally conceded the nomination to Obama on June 7. She pledged her full support to the
presumptive nominee and vowed to do everything she could to help him get elected. Clinton became the Democratic presidential nominee
8 years later, but lost the general election to
Donald Trump.
Republican Party Not only was the 2008 election the first time since
1952 that neither the
incumbent president nor the incumbent vice president was a candidate in the general election, but it was also the first time since the
1928 election that neither sought his party's nomination for president; as Bush was term-limited from seeking another nomination, the unique aspect was Vice President Cheney's decision not to seek the Republican nomination. The 2008 election was also the third presidential election since
1896 in which neither the incumbent president, the incumbent vice president, nor a current or former member of the incumbent president's
Cabinet won the nomination of either major party the others being
1920 and
1952. With no members of the Bush administration emerging as major contenders for the Republican nomination, the Republican race was as open as the Democratic race.
Candidate Withdrawn candidates Before the primaries Immediately after the 2006 midterm elections, media pundits began speculating, as they did about the Democrats, about potential Republican candidates for president in 2008. The media speculated that Giuliani's
pro-choice stance on
abortion and McCain's age and support of the unpopular
Iraq War would be detriments to their candidacies.
Arkansas Governor
Mike Huckabee, Giuliani, former
Massachusetts governor
Mitt Romney, and
Texas Representative
Ron Paul announced their candidacies on January 28, February 5, February 13, and March 12, respectively. McCain officially announced his candidacy on March 1, 2007, after several informal announcements. In the third quarter of 2007, the top four GOP (Republican) fundraisers were Romney, Giuliani, Thompson, and
Ron Paul. MSNBC's Chuck Todd christened Giuliani and
John McCain the front runners after the second Republican presidential debate in early 2007.
Early primaries/caucuses Huckabee, winner of Iowa, had little to no money and hoped for at least a third-place finish in New Hampshire. McCain eventually displaced Rudy Giuliani and Romney as the front runner in
New Hampshire. McCain staged a turnaround victory, having been written off by the pundits and polling in single digits less than a month before the race. With the Republicans stripping Michigan and Florida of half their delegates for moving their primaries into January 2008 against party rules, the race for the nomination was based there. McCain meanwhile managed a small victory over Huckabee in
South Carolina, setting him up for a larger and more important victory over Romney in
Florida, which held a closed primary on January 29. By this time, after several scandals, no success in the early primaries, and a third-place finish in Florida, Giuliani conceded the nomination and endorsed John McCain the next day.
Super Tuesday McCain was also endorsed in February by
California Governor
Arnold Schwarzenegger before the
California primary took place on Super Tuesday. This gave him a significant boost in the polls for the state's primary, which awarded the greatest number of delegates of all the states. On Super Tuesday, McCain won his home state of Arizona, taking all 53 delegates. He also won nearly all of California's 173 delegates, the largest of the Super Tuesday prizes. McCain also scored wins in seven other states, picking up 574 delegates. Huckabee was the "surprise performer", winning 5 states and 218 delegates. His departure left Huckabee and Paul as McCain's only major challengers in the remaining primaries and caucuses. Romney endorsed McCain on February 14. Louisiana, the
District of Columbia,
Kansas,
Wisconsin, and
Washington held primaries in February after Super Tuesday. Despite McCain picking up big victories, Huckabee won Louisiana and Kansas. McCain narrowly carried the Washington caucuses over Huckabee and Paul, who amassed a large showing. Romney would eventually become the Republican presidential nominee
4 years later, which he then lost to
Barack Obama.
Third party and other nominations Along with the Democratic and Republican parties, three other parties nominated candidates with ballot access in enough states to win the minimum 270 electoral votes needed to win the election. These were the
Constitution Party, the
Green Party, and the
Libertarian Party. In addition, independent candidate
Ralph Nader ran his own campaign. The Constitution Party nominated writer, pastor, and conservative talk show host
Chuck Baldwin for president, and attorney Darrell Castle from Tennessee for vice president. While campaigning, Baldwin voiced his opposition to the
Iraq War, the
Sixteenth Amendment,
Roe v. Wade, the
IRS, and the
Federal Reserve. The Green Party nominated former Democratic representative
Cynthia McKinney from Georgia for president, and political activist
Rosa Clemente from New York for vice president. McKinney campaigned on a platform that supported
single-payer universal health care, the withdrawal of American troops from Iraq and Afghanistan, reparations for African Americans, and the creation of a Department of Peace. The Libertarian Party nominated former Republican representative
Bob Barr from Georgia for president, and his former rival for the Libertarian nomination
Wayne Allyn Root from Nevada, for vice president. During the 2008 presidential campaign, Barr advocated a reworking or abolition of the
income tax and opposed the war in Iraq and the
Patriot Act.
Candidates gallery File:Naderspeak.JPG| File:Bob Barr-2008 cropped.jpg| File:CBaldwin08.jpg| File:Cynthia McKinney.jpg|
Party conventions • April 23–26, 2008:
2008 Constitution Party National Convention held in
Kansas City, Missouri. • May 23–26, 2008:
2008 Libertarian National Convention, held in
Denver, Colorado. • July 10–13, 2008:
2008 Green Party National Convention, held in
Chicago, Illinois. • August 25–28, 2008:
2008 Democratic National Convention, held in
Denver, Colorado. • September 1–4, 2008:
2008 Republican National Convention, held in
Saint Paul, Minnesota. ==General election campaign==