Degree of influence in
Jerusalem, Israel, May 14, 2018 The impact of pro-Israel organizations and sentiment in the United States has been the subject of considerable academic and journalistic interest.
Miles Copeland, a founding member of the
Central Intelligence Agency, wrote: "Our diplomats and intelligence officers' fears of Zionist influence are great..." Mearsheimer and Walt have collected and quoted some of the lobbyists' comments on their organizations' political capital. For example, Mearsheimer and Walt quote
Morris Amitay, former AIPAC director as saying, "It's almost politically suicidal...for a member of Congress who wants to seek reelection to take any stand that might be interpreted as anti-policy of the conservative Israeli government." They also quote a
Michael Massing article in which an unnamed staffer sympathetic to Israel said, "We can count on well over half the House – 250 to 300 members – to do reflexively whatever AIPAC wants." Similarly they cite former AIPAC official Steven Rosen illustrating AIPAC's power for Jeffrey Goldberg by putting a napkin in front of him and saying, "In twenty-four hours, we could have the signatures of seventy senators on this napkin." Mitchell Bard has conducted a study which attempts to roughly quantify the influence of the Israel lobby on 782 policy decisions, over the period of 1945 to 1984, in order to move the debate on its influence away from simple anecdotes. He found the Israeli lobby won; that is, achieved its policy objective, 60 percent of the time. The most important variable was the president's position. When the president supported the lobby, it won 95 percent of the time. At first glance it appears the lobby was only successful because its objectives coincided with those of the president, but the lobby's influence was demonstrated by the fact that it still won 27 percent of the cases when the president opposed its position. However, some U.S. government officials and journalists have stated that the Israel lobby is not so powerful that they control U.S. foreign policy. Progressive journalist
John R. MacArthur wrote: Former
Secretary of State George Shultz stated "the notion that U.S. policy on Israel and Middle East is the result of [the Israel lobby's] influence is simply wrong."
Dennis B. Ross, a Jewish-American diplomat and special
Middle East coordinator under
Bill Clinton, who is now an official at
WINEP, wrote: never in the time that I led the American negotiations on the Middle East peace process did we take a step because 'the lobby' wanted us to. Nor did we shy away from one because 'the lobby' opposed it. That is not to say that AIPAC and others have no influence. They do. But they don't distort U.S. policy or undermine American interests. Individual journalists each have their own opinions on how powerful the Israel lobby is.
Glenn Frankel wrote: "On Capitol Hill the Israel lobby commands large majorities in both the House and Senate."
Michael Lind produced a cover piece on the Israel lobby for the UK publication
Prospect in 2002 which concluded, "The truth about America's Israel lobby is this: it is not all-powerful, but it is still far too powerful for the good of the U.S. and its alliances in the Middle East and elsewhere." Tony Judt, writing in
The New York Times, asked rhetorically, "Does the Israel Lobby affect our foreign policy choices? Of coursethat is one of its goals. ... But does pressure to support Israel distort American decisions? That's a matter of judgment." According to a public opinion poll by
Zogby International of 1,036 likely voters from October 10–12, 2006, 40% of American voters at least somewhat believe the Israel lobby has been a key factor in going to
war in Iraq. The following poll question was used: "Question: Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagree that the work of the Israel lobby on Congress and the Bush administration has been a key factor for going to war in Iraq and now confronting Iran?" In March 2009,
Charles W. Freeman, Jr., criticized the lobby after withdrawing his candidacy for the chair of the
National Intelligence Council. Freeman said, "The libels on me and their easily traceable email trails show conclusively that there is a powerful lobby determined to prevent any view other than its own from being aired. ... The tactics of the Israel Lobby plumb the depths of dishonor and indecency. ... The aim of this Lobby is control of the policy process. ... " Members of Congress denied that the Israel lobby had a significant role in their opposition to Freeman's appointment; they cite Freeman's ties with the Saudi and Chinese governments, objections to certain statements made about the
Palestinian territories and his lack of experience as the reasons for their opposition. Upon his resignation, the National Counterterrorism Center Director
Joe Kent cited the "powerful lobby" of Israel as the cause of the
2026 Iran war.
Comparison to other lobbies The closest comparison is probably to other ethnic-group based lobbies that attempt to influence American foreign policy decisions such as the
Cuban-American lobby, the African-American lobby in foreign policy and the
Armenian American lobby, although the lobby has also been compared to the
National Rifle Association (NRA) and the lobby for the
Pharmaceutical industry. In comparing the Israel Lobby to the NRA, Glenn Frankel concludes that "Nevertheless, the Israel lobby, and AIPAC in particular, gained a reputation as the National Rifle Association of foreign policy: a hard-edged, pugnacious bunch that took names and kept score. But in some ways it was even stronger. The NRA's support was largely confined to right-wing Republicans and rural Democrats. But AIPAC made inroads in both parties and both ends of the ideological spectrum." However, while comparing the Israel Lobby with the
Arab Lobby, Mitchell Bard notes that "From the beginning, the Arab lobby has faced not only a disadvantage in electoral politics but also in organization. There are several politically oriented groups, but many of these are one man operations with little financial or popular support." The
Arab American Institute is involved in supporting Arab-American political candidates, but, according to journalist and comedian
Ray Hanania in a 2006 piece, "it's nothing compared to the funds that AIPAC raises not just for Jewish American congressmen, but for congressmen who support Israel." Furthermore, according to Bard, Arab-American lobbies face a problem of motivation; while Jewish Americans feel the need to support their homeland, Israel (as well as other states in the Middle East who have signed peace treaties with Israel) in active, organized ways, Arab-Americans do not appear to have a similar motivation when it comes to their own homelands.
Israel and U.S. interests Friendly relations between Israel and the U.S. has been and continues to be a tenet of both American and Israeli foreign policy. Israel receives bipartisan support in the U.S. Congress. The
Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs states that U.S. and Israel share common "economic, political, strategic, and diplomatic concerns" and that the countries exchange "intelligence and military information" and cooperate in an effort to halt international terrorism and illegal drug trade. Furthermore, a majority of American citizens view Israel favorably. In 2011, the pro-Israel
Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP) argued that the U.S.-Israel relationship is "A Strategic Asset for the United States." In discussing their report,
Walter B. Slocombe said that while in the popular imagination, the U.S.-Israel relationship is only good for Israel, Israel provides enormous assistance to the United States, including military expertise which has saved American lives in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Robert D. Blackwill countered the claim that the U.S.-Israel relationship significantly damages the relationship between the United States and the Arab world. He asked rhetorically: When asked how this report could so flatly contradict the Walt and Mearsheimer thesis, Slocombe responded, "There is so much error in the world," and added, "I think it would be interesting to ask them whether they make the same contrary argument about the other countries to whom we also provide something like this kind of support. There are obviously differences, but the principle is the same." The
Israel Project noted in 2009 that "when you're talking to Americans, you need to know that when you don't support a two-state solution you risk having a major public relations challenge in America and Europe." In a 2008 editorial, the Israeli-American historian and author
Michael B. Oren wrote that Israel and the United States are natural allies, despite what the opposition from "much of American academia and influential segments of the media." Oren claimed this was because Israel and the United States shared similar values such as "respect for civic rights and the rule of law" and democracy. Israel and the United States share military intelligence in order to fight terrorism. In his 2007 review of Mearsheimer and Walt's book,
Jeffrey Goldberg wrote: Forty years of polling has consistently shown that Americans support Israel in its conflict with the Arabs. ... Both Israel and America were founded by refugees from European religious intolerance; both are rooted in a common religious tradition; Israel is a lively democracy in a part of the world that lacks democracy; Israelis seem self-reliant in the manner of American pioneers; and Israel's enemies, in many cases, seem to be America's enemies as well. The Israeli academic and political activist
Jeff Halper said that "Israel is able to pursue its occupation only because of its willingness to serve Western (mainly U.S.) imperial interests" and that rather than influencing the United States via the lobby, Israel is actually "a
handmaiden of American Empire."
Robert Satloff cited the events of May–June 2010 (in which Israel stopped a flotilla meant to break its blockade of the Gaza Strip and yet, a few days later, every country expected to vote U.N. sanctions against Iran ended up voting as the U.S. wanted them to) as a counter-example that disproved that point of view. Goldberg similarly cited the
Arab Spring to counter Walt and Mearsheimer's point: It seems as if the Arab masses have been much less upset about Israel's treatment of the Palestinians than they have been about their own treatment at the hands of their unelected leaders. If Israel ceased to exist tomorrow, Arabs would still be upset at the quality of their leadership (and they would still blame the United States for supporting the autocrats who make them miserable); Iran would still continue its drive to expunge American influence from the Middle East; and al Qaeda would still seek to murder Americans and other Westerners. In 2006 the former
U.N. weapons inspector in Iraq
Scott Ritter published "Target Iran: The Truth About the White House's Plans for Regime Change" (). In his book he stated that certain Israelis and pro-Israel elements in the United States were trying to push the Bush administration into war with Iran. He also accuses the U.S. pro-Israel lobby of
dual loyalty and outright
espionage (see
Lawrence Franklin espionage scandal). In 2020
Imran Khan, then the
prime minister of Pakistan, said the United States was pressuring Pakistan to recognize Israel and said it was because of "Israel's deep impact in the United States". Khan also said "Israel's lobby is the most powerful, and that's why America's whole Middle East policy is controlled by Israel,"
Plans to avoid the Foreign Agents Registration Act Leaked documents from the
Justice Ministry of Israel show that Israeli officials were considering creating an American nonprofit that would be used to carry on their advocacy activities in the United States while avoiding the
Foreign Agents Registration Act.
News media coverage of the Israel lobby The American journalist Michael Massing argues that there is a lack of news media coverage of the Israel lobby, and posits this explanation: "Why the blackout? For one thing, reporting on these groups is not easy. AIPAC's power makes potential sources reluctant to discuss the organization on the record, and employees who leave it usually sign pledges of silence. AIPAC officials themselves rarely give interviews, and the organization even resists divulging its board of directors." According to Gal Beckerman there are many individual pro-Israel
op-ed columnists, but the argument that the media as a whole is part of the Israel lobby cannot be concluded from Mearsheimer and Walt's
cherry picked evidence: Walt and Mearsheimer undermine our intelligence by assuming that we are simply being manipulated. ... If the lobby is so influential over the media, how were Walt and Mearsheimer given such space in every major news outlet in the country to express their 'dangerous' views? You want to tell me that a force that can impel us to got to war in Iraq can't find a way to censor two academics? Not much of a lobby, now is it? Writing for the
Columbia Journalism Review, Beckerman cites examples of op-eds critical of Israel from several major U.S. newspapers and concludes that an equally compelling argument could be made that the Israel lobby ''doesn't'' control the media.
Itamar Rabinovich, writing for the Brookings Institution, wrote, "The truth of the matter is that, insofar as the lobby ever tries to intimidate and silence, the effort usually causes more damage than it redresses. In any event, the power of the lobby to do that is very modest." On
The Diane Rehm Show (December 11, 2006), the Middle East expert
Hisham Melhem, the Lebanese journalist and Washington Bureau Chief for
Al Arabiya, and
Dennis Ross, working as counselor Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP), when asked about the pervasive Israeli influence on
American foreign policy in the Middle East mentioned in the former president Jimmy Carter's 2006 book
Palestine: Peace Not Apartheid said: [H. Melhem] "When it comes to Israel [discussing Israeli and/or Jewish American issues], it is still almost a taboo in certain parts, not everywhere ... there are certain things that cannot be said about the Israeli government or America's relationship with Israel or about the Israeli lobby. Yes there is, excuse me, there is an Israeli lobby, but when we say an Israeli lobby we are not talking about a Jewish cabal. The Israeli lobby operates the way the NRA operates, a system of rewards and punishment, you help your friends by money, by advocacy and everything, and sometimes they pool money in to the campaigns of those people that they see as friendly to Israel. This is the American game". (radio interview: ≈16:30-20:05)
Criticism of the term According to
William Safire, the term "Israel Lobby" came into use in the 1970s and, similar to the term "
China lobby", carries "the pejorative connotation of manipulation." He also writes that supporters of Israel gauge the degree of perceived animus towards the Jewish State by the term chosen to refer to the lobby: "pro-Israel lobby" being used by those with the mildest opposition, followed by "Israel lobby", with the term "
Jewish lobby" being employed by those with the most extreme anti-Israel opinions. However, justifying their usage of the term, they write "because many of the key [pro-Israel] groups do lobby, and because the term 'Israel lobby' is used in common parlance (along with labels such as the 'farm lobby', 'insurance lobby', 'gun lobby' and other ethnic lobbies), we have chosen to employ it here." ==See also==