Finnish-Soviet relations and politics Until the early nineteenth century, Finland was the eastern part of the
Kingdom of Sweden. From 21 February 1808 to 17 September 1809, the
Russian Empire waged the
Finnish War against the Kingdom of Sweden, ostensibly to protect the Russian capital,
Saint Petersburg. Eventually Russia conquered and
annexed Finland, and converted it into an
autonomous buffer state. The resulting
Grand Duchy of Finland enjoyed wide autonomy within Russia until the end of the nineteenth century, when Russia began attempts
to assimilate Finland as part of a general policy to strengthen the central government and unify the Empire by
Russification. Those attempts were aborted because of Russia's internal strife, but they ruined Russia's relationship with Finland. In addition, support increased in Finland for self-determination movements.
World War I led to the collapse of the Russian Empire during the
Russian Revolution of 1917 and the
Russian Civil War. On 15 November 1917, the
Bolshevik Russian government
declared that national minorities possessed the right of self-determination, including the right to secede and form a separate state, which gave Finland a window of opportunity. On 6 December 1917, the
Senate of Finland declared the nation's independence.
Soviet Russia, later the
Soviet Union, recognised the new Finnish government just three weeks after the declaration. Finland joined the League of Nations in 1920 and sought security guarantees, but Finland's primary goal was co-operation with the
Scandinavian countries (mainly Sweden), and focused on the exchange of information and on defence planning (the joint defence of
Åland, for example), rather than on
military exercises or on the stockpiling and deployment of
materiel. Nevertheless, Sweden carefully avoided committing itself to Finnish foreign policy. Finland's military policy included clandestine
defence co-operation with
Estonia. The period after the Finnish Civil War to the early 1930s was a politically unstable time in Finland because of the continued rivalry between the conservatives and the socialists. The
Communist Party of Finland was declared illegal in 1931, and the nationalist
Lapua Movement organised
anticommunist violence, which culminated in a
failed coup attempt in 1932. The successor of the Lapua Movement, the
Patriotic People's Movement, had a minor presence in national politics and never had more than 14 seats of the 200 in the
Finnish Parliament. By the late 1930s, the export-oriented Finnish economy was growing and the nation's extreme political movements had diminished. was signed by
Aarno Yrjö-Koskinen and
Maxim Litvinov in Moscow 1932. After Soviet involvement in the Finnish Civil War in 1918, no formal peace treaty was signed. In 1918 and 1919, Finnish volunteers conducted two unsuccessful military incursions across the Soviet border, the
Viena and
Aunus expeditions, to annex areas in
Karelia that according to the
Greater Finland ideology would combine all
Baltic Finnic peoples into a single state. In 1920, Finnish communists based in Soviet Russia attempted to assassinate the former Finnish
White Guard Commander-in-Chief, Marshal
Carl Gustaf Emil Mannerheim. On 14 October 1920, Finland and Soviet Russia signed the
Treaty of Tartu, confirming the old border between the autonomous Grand Duchy of Finland and Imperial Russia proper as the new Finnish–Soviet border. Finland also received
Petsamo Province, with its
ice-free harbour on the Arctic Ocean. Despite the signing of the treaty, relations between the two countries remained strained. The Finnish government allowed volunteers to cross the border to support the
East Karelian uprising in Russia in 1921, and Finnish communists in the Soviet Union continued to prepare for revenge and staged a cross-border raid into Finland, the
Pork Mutiny, in 1922. In 1932, the
Soviet–Finnish Non-Aggression Pact was signed between both countries, and it was reaffirmed for ten years in 1934. In 1934, the Soviet Union also joined the League of Nations. He thought that the pro-Finland movement in Karelia posed a direct threat to
Leningrad and that the area and defences of Finland could be used to invade the Soviet Union or restrict fleet movements. Soviet propaganda then painted Finland's leadership as a "vicious and reactionary
fascist clique". Field Marshal Mannerheim and
Väinö Tanner, the leader of the
Finnish Social Democratic Party, were targeted for particular scorn. When Stalin gained absolute power through the
Great Purge of 1938, the Soviets changed their foreign policy toward Finland and began to pursue the reconquest of the provinces of Tsarist Russia that had been lost during the chaos of the
October Revolution of 1917 and the Russian Civil War almost two decades earlier. Soviet leaders believed that the old empire's extended borders provided territorial security and wanted Leningrad, only from the Finnish border, to enjoy a similar level of security against the rising power of
Nazi Germany.
Negotiations and
Uusimaa regiment on winter manoeuvres in Helsinki rural municipality in February 1938 In April 1938,
NKVD agent
Boris Yartsev contacted Finnish Foreign Minister
Rudolf Holsti and Finnish Prime Minister
Aimo Cajander, stating that the Soviets did not trust Germany and that war was considered possible between the two countries. The Red Army would not wait passively behind the border but would rather "advance to meet the enemy". Finnish representatives assured Yartsev that Finland was committed to a policy of neutrality and that the country would resist any armed incursion. Yartsev suggested that Finland cede or lease some islands in the
Gulf of Finland along the seaward approaches to Leningrad, but Finland refused. Negotiations continued throughout 1938 without results. The Finnish reception of Soviet entreaties was decidedly cool, as the violent collectivisation and purges in Stalin's Soviet Union resulted in a poor opinion of the country. Most of the Finnish communist elite in the Soviet Union had been executed during the Great Purge, further tarnishing the Soviets' image in Finland. Meanwhile, Finland was attempting to negotiate a military co-operation plan with Sweden and hoping to jointly defend Åland. The Soviet Union and Nazi Germany signed the
Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact in August 1939. It was publicly a
non-aggression treaty, but it included a secret protocol in which Central and Eastern European countries were divided into
spheres of influence. Finland fell into the Soviet sphere. On 1 September 1939, Germany began its
invasion of Poland, and two days later, the United Kingdom and France declared war on Germany. On 17 September, the
Soviet invasion of Poland began. After the fall of Poland, Germany and the Soviet Union exchanged occupied Polish lands to establish a new border in accordance with the provisions of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact. Estonia,
Latvia and
Lithuania were soon
forced to accept treaties that allowed the Soviets to establish military bases on their soil. Estonia accepted the
ultimatum by signing the agreement on 28 September. Latvia and Lithuania followed in October. Unlike the three Baltic countries, Finland started a gradual
mobilisation under the guise of "additional
refresher training". The Soviets had already started intensive mobilisation near the Finnish border in 1938–39. On 5 October 1939, the Soviets invited a Finnish delegation to Moscow for negotiations.
Juho Kusti Paasikivi, the Finnish envoy to Sweden, was sent to Moscow to represent the Finnish government. Paasikivi would later recount his surprise over the friendly atmosphere in which the delegation was received, and mentioned the pleasant manners of Stalin towards them. during "additional
refresher training" at the Karelian Isthmus, on 10 October 1939. The meetings began on 12 October, with Molotov's offer of a mutual assistance pact, which the Finns immediately refused. To the Finns' surprise, Molotov dropped the offer and instead proposed an exchange of territory. The Soviet offer divided the Finnish government:
Gustaf Mannerheim had argued for an agreement, being pessimistic of the Finnish prospects in a war against the Soviet Union but the Finnish government was reticent in reaching an agreement out of mistrust for Stalin for fear of repeated follow-up demands, which would have put the future of Finnish sovereignty in danger. There were also those, such as Foreign Minister
Eljas Erkko and Prime Minister
Aimo Cajander, and the Finnish intelligence in general, who mistook the demands and the Soviet military build-up as a mere bluff on the part of Stalin, and were thus disinclined to reach an agreement. The Finns would also cede the islands in the Gulf of Finland, but they would not agree to lease any territory to the Soviet Union for military purposes. On the next meeting on 23 October, Stalin lessened his demands: a reduction in the amount of land demanded in Karelia; a reduction of the Hanko garrison from 5000 to 4000 men; and reducing the length of lease from 30 years to whatever date the ongoing (second world) war in Europe would end. However, this sudden change, contrary to previous statements that Soviet demands were minimalist and thus unalterable, had surprised the Finnish government, and lead them to believe more concession may be forthcoming. Thus, Paasikivi's idea of reaching some sort of compromise by offering the Soviets the island of Jussarö and the fort of Ino were refused by Helsinki. On 31 October, Molotov publicly announced the Soviet demands to the
Supreme Soviet. This surprised the Finns, and lent credibility to Soviet claims that their demands were minimalist and thus unalterable, as it would have been impossible to reduce them without a loss of prestige after having made them public. However, the Soviet offer was eventually rejected with respect to the opinion of the public and Parliament. This would become the final meeting: the Soviets stopped responding to further Finnish letters and on 13 November, when the Finnish delegation was recalled from Moscow, no Soviet officials came to see them off. The Finns had left under the expectation that the negotiations would continue. Instead, the Soviet Union ramped up its military preparations. The negotiations had failed, as neither side was willing to substantially reduce their demands, nor was either side able to fully trust the other. The Finns were fearful of an encroachment on their sovereignty, while the Soviets were (claiming to be) fearful of a springboard for international enemies in Finland, in close proximity to Leningrad. No promises to the contrary managed to persuade the other. Additionally, both sides had misunderstood the others position: the Finns had assumed that the Soviets had opened up on a maximalist demand, ready to be traded down smaller. The Soviets instead had stressed the minimalist nature of their demands, and were incredulous over Finnish reluctance to agree.
Shelling of Mainila and Soviet intentions On 26 November 1939, an incident was reported near the Soviet village of
Mainila, near the border with Finland. A Soviet border guard post had been shelled by an unknown party resulting, according to Soviet reports, in the deaths of four and injuries of nine border guards. Research conducted by several Finnish and Russian historians later concluded that the shelling was a
false flag operation since there were no artillery units there, and it was carried out from the Soviet side of the border by an NKVD unit with the purpose of providing the Soviets with a
casus belli and a pretext to withdraw from the non-aggression pact. Soviet war games held in March 1938 and 1939 had been based on a scenario in which border incidents taking place at the village of Mainila would spark the war. at Mainila, where a
border incident between Finland and the Soviet Union escalated into the Winter War|alt=A group of foreign journalists observes something during snowfall in Mainila, where a border incident between Finland and the Soviet Union escalated into the Winter War. Molotov claimed that the incident was a Finnish artillery attack. He demanded that Finland apologise for the incident and to move its forces beyond a line from the border. Finland denied responsibility for the attack, rejected the demands and called for a joint Finnish–Soviet commission to examine the incident. In turn, the Soviet Union claimed that the Finnish response was hostile, renounced the non-aggression pact and severed diplomatic relations with Finland on 28 November. In the following years,
Soviet historiography described the incident as Finnish provocation. Doubt on the official Soviet version was cast only in the late 1980s, during the policy of
glasnost. The issue has continued to divide Russian historiography even after the
end of the Soviet Union in 1991.
Soviet intentions In 2013, Russian President
Vladimir Putin stated at a meeting with military historians that the Soviets had launched the Winter War to "correct mistakes" made in determining the border with Finland after 1917. Opinion on the scale of the initial Soviet invasion decision is divided. The puppet Finnish communist government and the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact's secret protocol is used as proof that the Soviet Union had intended to conquer all of Finland. On 1 December 1939, the Soviet Union formed a
puppet government, named the
Finnish Democratic Republic, to govern Finland after Soviet conquest. A declaration delivered via
TASS stated: Soviet leaflets dropped over Helsinki on the first day of the war stated: "Finnish Comrades! We come to you not as conquerors, but as liberators of the Finnish people from the oppression of the capitalists and the landlords". In 1939, Soviet military leadership had formulated a realistic and comprehensive plan for the occupation of Finland. However, Joseph Stalin was not pleased with the conservative pace that the operation required and demanded new plans be drawn up. With the new plans, the key deadline for Finland's capitulation was to be Stalin's 60th birthday on 21 December. Convinced of the invasion's forthcoming success,
Andrei Zhdanov, chairman of the highest legislative body in the Soviet Union, commissioned a celebratory piece of music from
Dmitri Shostakovich,
Suite on Finnish Themes, intended to be performed as the marching bands of the Red Army paraded through Helsinki. The Soviets were confident that the Western powers would not come to Finland's aid.
Ivan Maisky, the Soviet ambassador to the UK, said: "Who would help? The Swedes? The British? The Americans? There's no way in hell. There will be a fuss in the press, moral support, moaning and whining. But troops, aircraft, cannons, and machine guns – no." Hungarian historian István Ravasz wrote that the
Soviet Central Committee had set out in 1939 that the former borders of the Tsarist Empire were to be restored, including Finland. Others argue against the idea of a complete Soviet conquest. American historian
William R. Trotter asserted that Stalin's objective was to secure Leningrad's flank from a possible German invasion through Finland. He stated that "the strongest argument" against a Soviet intention of full conquest is that it did not happen in either 1939 or during the
Continuation War in 1944 even though Stalin "could have done so with comparative ease". Also, according to Kotkin, Stalin seemed to be genuinely interested in reaching an agreement during the negotiations: he had personally attended six of the seven meetings with the Finns, and had multiple times reduced his demands. However, mutual mistrust and misunderstandings would mar the negotiations, producing an impasse. ==Opposing forces==